Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a05cc26e77cb950e6fe28c1a2e64bd074fb74a001e80a3baf5dcd40adf78b99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,859 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb539…aa3ebacked No | 0c | 10,422$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 14c | 7,333$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,281.81 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 16c | 5,034$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.98 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 2,843$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.82 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 6c | 2,024$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.27 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7105…b731backed No | 2c | 1,648$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 79c | 1,539$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.98 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 70c | 1,306$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.72 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10c…6d2cbacked No | 73c | 1,301$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…9867backed No | 1c | 1,262$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…f761backed No | 72c | 1,255$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…eb3dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,094$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.15 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked No | 1c | 1,011$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…ad64backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 32c | 988.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.52 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 7c | 974.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 2c | 966.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 17c | 923.76$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.2 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 11c | 899.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.99 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 2c | 884.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 75c | 872.88$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.68 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 10c | 867.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.39 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 17c | 705.46$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.36 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…6c81backed No | 1c | 673.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 10c | 668.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.03 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 13c | 617.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.17 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 9c | 604.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.96 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 20c | 596.87$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.61 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 21c | 595$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.9 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 18c | 572.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.05 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 30c | 523.01$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 27c | 503.56$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.49 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed No | 52c | 500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 48c | 495.59$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.27 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 57c | 484.94$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 67c | 389.43$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 79c | 383.24$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.7 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 58c | 382.69$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.25 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked Yes | 25c | 380.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.45 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 9c | 350$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3557…ae87backed No | 15c | 328.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…fd4cbacked No | 27c | 323.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 319.05$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.66 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…9dd0backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.05 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…0918backed Yes | 19c | 299.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.97 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 11c | 294.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.28 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 39c | 288.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.9 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 268.67$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.44 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 23c | 265.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.46 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 23c | 259.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…2b4abacked Yes | 10c | 256.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.5 | 149 | 15.4%23 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 12c | 242.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…c0b1backed Yes | 25c | 228.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.89 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 10c | 224.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2a…e917backed No | 71c | 222$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 25c | 219.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8203…cab2backed Yes | 24c | 208.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 22c | 206.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 57c | 203.49$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 200.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.45 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…4fbcbacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 195.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 17c | 193.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.83 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…44c3backed Yes | 10c | 190$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Yes | 19c | 188.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.54 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…2b8dbacked Yes | 38c | 183.46$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7f…7bfbbacked Yes | 39c | 179.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 18c | 177.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked No | 75c | 170.88$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 24c | 170.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0b7ebacked Yes | 30c | 164.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.51 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…6bf3backed Yes | 10c | 147.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 196 | 17.9%35 W · 161 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…8e32backed Yes | 80c | 147$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…0f11backed Yes | 71c | 145.42$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Yes | 45c | 138.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 19c | 135.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b7…bfe9backed No | 80c | 125.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 20c | 125.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 24c | 123.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 121.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…0987backed Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Yes | 21c | 117.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 11c | 116.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.12 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…b1c7backed Yes | 21c | 113.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 148 | 26.4%39 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…cf3bbacked Yes | 18c | 111.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 69c | 111.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…e2d7backed Yes | 11c | 110.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b11dbacked Yes | 73c | 107.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 17c | 105.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 11c | 105$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 31c | 100.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.