Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverines
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46677931edc48ccb35f2eef9efaf8d718ffeee814a643ab18c0dac2c6930d948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan State Spartans, Michigan Wolverines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,795 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Michigan State Spartans | 31c | 16,985$5,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,286.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Michigan Wolverines | 69c | 12,366$8,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,775.69 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 21c | 4,483$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.85 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Michigan Wolverines | 77c | 4,190$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.61 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Michigan State Spartans | 24c | 3,694$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.29 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Michigan State Spartans | 10c | 3,390$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.01 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 3,324$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.9 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Michigan Wolverines | 80c | 3,017$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.51 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 15c | 2,565$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.72 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Michigan State Spartans | 25c | 2,536$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.43 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 18c | 2,222$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.85 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan Wolverines | 77c | 1,776$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.89 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 1,450$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.58 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 1,361$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 19c | 1,341$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 1,232$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.46 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Michigan Wolverines | 79c | 1,146$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.97 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 1,127$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Michigan Wolverines | 76c | 1,058$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.58 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Michigan Wolverines | 69c | 1,033$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.78 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michigan Wolverines | 69c | 1,007$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.16 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Michigan State Spartans | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Michigan State Spartans | 19c | 994.61$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.98 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Michigan Wolverines | 74c | 953.05$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.43 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 905.31$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 79c | 903.13$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Michigan State Spartans | 15c | 864.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.69 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 822.96$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Michigan State Spartans | 19c | 789.74$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 22c | 721.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdf…b345backed Michigan State Spartans | 19c | 628.18$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Michigan State Spartans | 19c | 618.39$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Michigan State Spartans | 18c | 615.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 12c | 589.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Michigan State Spartans | 10c | 589.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Michigan State Spartans | 31c | 584.31$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…eb14backed Michigan State Spartans | 13c | 498.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 494.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 21c | 486.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan State Spartans | 22c | 471.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Michigan State Spartans | 42c | 453.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Michigan State Spartans | 19c | 450$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Michigan Wolverines | 80c | 413.22$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 399.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 396.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Michigan State Spartans | 21c | 364.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 339.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 336.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Michigan State Spartans | 15c | 332.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Michigan State Spartans | 21c | 327.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Michigan State Spartans | 21c | 315.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Michigan State Spartans | 17c | 295.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 17c | 272.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Michigan Wolverines | 80c | 271.5$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 265.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Michigan State Spartans | 16c | 260.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Michigan State Spartans | 10c | 254.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed Michigan State Spartans | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12c…b9fdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 23c | 237.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…03a9backed Michigan State Spartans | 21c | 219.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Michigan State Spartans | 23c | 216.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Michigan State Spartans | 18c | 215.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…eb54backed Michigan State Spartans | 23c | 205.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michigan State Spartans | 22c | 202.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Michigan State Spartans | 18c | 199.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…6834backed Michigan State Spartans | 12c | 199.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Michigan State Spartans | 24c | 198.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Michigan State Spartans | 21c | 191.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Michigan Wolverines | 78c | 179.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Michigan Wolverines | 68c | 145.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Michigan State Spartans | 23c | 139.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 131.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 21c | 130.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Michigan State Spartans | 21c | 122.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 18c | 121.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Michigan State Spartans | 19c | 119.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed Michigan Wolverines | 80c | 108.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -6.3wins | -0.27per pick | 62cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Michigan State Spartans | 23c | 108.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Michigan Wolverines | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Michigan State Spartans | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 99.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6212…4eb3backed Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 99.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Michigan State Spartans | 22c | 99.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Michigan State Spartans | 16c | 99.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Michigan State Spartans | 37c | 96.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Michigan State Spartans | 16c | 93.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Michigan State Spartans | 18c | 81.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Michigan State Spartans | 21c | 80.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Michigan State Spartans | 19c | 78.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Michigan Wolverines | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ff…a963backed Michigan State Spartans | 19c | 68.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Michigan State Spartans | 21c | 67.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Michigan Wolverines | 75c | 66.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Michigan State Spartans | 20c | 65.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Michigan State Spartans | 17c | 64.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…8a37backed Michigan State Spartans | 32c | 62.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Michigan Wolverines | 73c | 55.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…a5d6backed Michigan Wolverines | 79c | 54.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…f7cdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 25c | 54.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b9…7d93backed Michigan Wolverines | 80c | 54.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverinesthis page
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 150.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.