Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36935e21a0cd2a6533b9991595568022092df35a64bf9892d4bfdacce4711e4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Michigan Wolverines, Michigan State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,757 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 129,363$65,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,851.69 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 116,751$57,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,542.96 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 9,913$4,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005.82 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 4,814$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.15 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 3,456$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.24 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 1,555$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.5 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 1,500$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 1,425$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.29 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d9…56c4backed Michigan State Spartans | 55c | 1,110$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 900.17$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.08 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michigan Wolverines | 45c | 689.59$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 563.73$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.3 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 505.96$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.28 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 501$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 327.67$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.1 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 314.34$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.48 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 73c | 301.42$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 297.09$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 291.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…648fbacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 193.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Michigan State Spartans | 56c | 175.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Michigan Wolverines | 26c | 164.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 158.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 148.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Michigan Wolverines | 40c | 147.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 129.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 125.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Michigan Wolverines | 45c | 118.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 117.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 114.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 111.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979d…87dcbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…7ffbbacked Michigan State Spartans | 56c | 99.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…795abacked Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 98.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Michigan Wolverines | 32c | 97.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 96.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 95.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 93.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 93.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 91.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…ff0dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…f1edbacked Michigan State Spartans | 77c | 87.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…e3e3backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 78.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 77.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michigan Wolverines | 31c | 75.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…7e6cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 74.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 37c | 73.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 72.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…a58dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 63.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…333bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 72c | 62.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Michigan Wolverines | 38c | 60.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 60.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Michigan State Spartans | 56c | 58.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 57.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9c…4bb6backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 52.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Michigan State Spartans | 72c | 49.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 49.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 48.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 47.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…6d18backed Michigan State Spartans | 77c | 45.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Michigan Wolverines | 45c | 42.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Michigan State Spartans | 55c | 42.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 83 | 72.3%60 W · 23 L | +14.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Michigan State Spartans | 57c | 41.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…108bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 38.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 31.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 31.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 30.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…1c05backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 30.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Michigan Wolverines | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 29.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 71c | 27.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…4238backed Michigan State Spartans | 57c | 26.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b6…5f6ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 25.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 23.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 23.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 23.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)this page
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 150.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.