TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,278,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,278,549 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x183d…1270backed Nets1c500,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004619.6%9 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Nets19c230,000$43,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,399.9948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nets19c131,579$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Nets19c69,043$13,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,177.8227424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb58e…d570backed Trail Blazers80c51,191$40,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,238.211266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Nets19c45,933$8,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,940.4920744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Nets18c45,229$8,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,141.2911241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Nets0c43,014$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0116919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets0c40,012$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.11,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets18c33,784$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,120.44,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Nets1c27,837$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.3526637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets18c27,511$5,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,026.8547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Nets16c25,002$3,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,938.829018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Nets0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0d…dfa4backed Nets2c23,233$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Nets16c22,222$3,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,555.5215952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets17c20,398$3,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,526.779,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets21c19,251$4,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,065.554,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0287…8a29backed Nets18c13,888$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.831118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-66.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Nets18c13,756$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.11,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Nets0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Trail Blazers77c11,059$8,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511.7632540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Nets21c10,148$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.9629250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ff…549cbacked Trail Blazers80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+127.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Nets1c9,945$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets0c9,710$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.268783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets0c9,506$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.688820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Nets19c9,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets6c8,727$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.644,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nets20c8,216$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.662,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Nets21c8,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6806943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…f355backed Trail Blazers79c8,000$6,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.983847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets6c7,954$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.381,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Nets19c7,897$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.510225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Nets19c7,000$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3309330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Trail Blazers80c6,550$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d2f4backed Nets20c5,300$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Nets20c5,012$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.0913435.8%48 W · 86 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb642…056cbacked Nets20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+60.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9886641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nets6c4,802$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.761,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Nets18c4,691$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.3641832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Nets18c4,650$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8378026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets22c4,647$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.431,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nets18c4,444$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80072450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets18c4,400$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80261835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2268…05bdbacked Nets1c4,252$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…825cbacked Nets20c3,579$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.81650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ab…506dbacked Trail Blazers80c3,500$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7004551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Nets20c3,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.995032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers79c3,282$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.651,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c2…7414backed Nets20c3,251$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid+40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Nets19c3,200$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.9843438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Trail Blazers80c3,166$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.227247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fa…de8ebacked Trail Blazers80c3,160$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Trail Blazers79c3,024$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.941,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Nets19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Trail Blazers80c2,900$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5808441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Nets20c2,900$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5805444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…ac40backed Nets19c2,866$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.635339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42cf…3799backed Nets4c2,809$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b5e…821abacked Nets1c2,772$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.07425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc027…ad82backed Trail Blazers80c2,700$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…737ebacked Trail Blazers79c2,625$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.321471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f5…ec35backed Trail Blazers80c2,600$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f6…40ddbacked Nets20c2,300$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a80…8c5ebacked Nets19c2,150$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.57439.2%29 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0689…9171backed Nets4c2,102$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.734323.3%10 W · 33 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-48.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Nets18c2,083$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.996628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd58…c1c4backed Trail Blazers80c2,072$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.41758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Trail Blazers78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Nets19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38020048%96 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b02…b95fbacked Trail Blazers76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48011766.7%78 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Nets20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets13c1,918$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.813,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Nets20c1,900$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37613148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Nets13c1,875$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7226034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9892…a1d0backed Nets21c1,843$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Trail Blazers77c1,838$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.19849%48 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d9…c063backed Nets20c1,750$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ded…f3d8backed Nets20c1,719$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.81361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Nets9c1,700$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.995536.4%20 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Nets20c1,607$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4317144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Nets7c1,528$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018336.6%67 W · 116 L+0.8wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Nets10c1,526$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014143.3%61 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Nets20c1,508$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019343%40 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Nets20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x289b…178cbacked Nets3c1,426$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.615337.9%58 W · 95 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6076…b218backed Nets19c1,421$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.055928.8%17 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Trail Blazers80c1,419$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5712147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5182…8f84backed Trail Blazers80c1,400$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Nets19c1,387$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4613234.8%46 W · 86 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Trail Blazers79c1,326$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.522140.3%89 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Nets18c1,319$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4724841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nets19c1,272$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2641038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fcf…c460backed Nets20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Nets20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b7…5f1abacked Trail Blazers80c1,234$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0c…b626backed Nets7c1,200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.615927%43 W · 116 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Nets19c1,200$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9968944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.