NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d3de9a5f8ccddb1b250ba3ce869e150e8b584936475fe76ed8ebe38e40cdb0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 5,080$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.01 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…ee3ebacked Under | 49c | 4,668$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 3,989$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 2,656$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…8809backed Over | 51c | 2,338$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4641…672bbacked Over | 51c | 2,330$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ada…985fbacked Over | 51c | 2,328$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…9252backed Under | 49c | 2,328$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…59f5backed Over | 51c | 2,326$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 2,301$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.71 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 53c | 1,799$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.47 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 1,736$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.27 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 70c | 771.43$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.43 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 760$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 30c | 718.16$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.45 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 47c | 699.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 53c | 661$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.33 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 53c | 535.2$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.65 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 48c | 492.94$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.33 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 486.48$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.83 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3190…93bbbacked Over | 53c | 337.47$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 328.66$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 279.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 260.46$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 54c | 174.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 47c | 171.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 162.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 54c | 155.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 49c | 140.51$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 53c | 127.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 95.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 80.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 57c | 79.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Over | 53c | 77.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 77.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 47c | 75.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 52c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Over | 43c | 33.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Over | 43c | 33.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…5238backed Over | 43c | 32.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 41c | 27.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
- Josh Minott: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-17.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-18.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-19.5)Nets won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-24.5)Nets won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. NetsTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.