TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,704 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over48c43,558$20,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,907.6654539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c15,899$8,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,571.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c11,000$5,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,28048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7006654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under52c8,868$4,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,256.4611241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c7,401$3,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,524.364,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over47c5,496$2,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,583.0238750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.981,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcaf…7755backed Over50c4,000$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.56850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over48c3,968$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89649246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2c…e12bbacked Under51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9258…99a3backed Over49c3,922$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c3,218$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.171,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ded…f3d8backed Under53c2,414$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.581361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over45c2,395$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.7511243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over14c2,219$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.8452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over48c1,979$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9224151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c1,972$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c1,911$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.912,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd57d…5895backed Under51c1,715$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc704…bbd7backed Under51c1,615$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c1,590$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over47c1,449$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.6658450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed Over47c1,442$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.91323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x43b1…b696backed Over47c1,442$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.74616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-78.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under64c1,312$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.13,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over48c1,085$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.8926544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.143250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4703060%18 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a2b…4b72backed Over49c931$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.191258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over27c896.6$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.472,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c820.17$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.314,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c778$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.441,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over48c773.36$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37134854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under79c727.88$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2852052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under75c720$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18065872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c468.54$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.242,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under52c444.96$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.581,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf314…4a2dbacked Over49c390$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c387.53$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.141,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc07c…3c88backed Over49c380$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3640041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under54c371.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.792058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65e3…8643backed Over49c355$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…bc18backed Over49c350$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25da…3ed1backed Over49c345$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c341$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2740146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a6…9dbebacked Over49c340$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4901…b52dbacked Over49c310$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under68c301.47$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.711,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f7…a0d1backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over47c297.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6939943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Over47c278$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6624428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under67c260.83$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4388057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb104…1453backed Over49c260$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf96…7d38backed Over49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over30c244.79$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.023,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Over47c227.94$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.497142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c222$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.782,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c213.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over48c209.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under53c207.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.297049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under53c193.09$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0826034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under80c190$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1929554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…3990backed Over48c183.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c179.32$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.613,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5748…3c7bbacked Over27c169.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under52c164.11$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7783158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x454f…585bbacked Over49c153.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-78.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under53c139.51$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4751438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over37c134.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.661,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over45c123$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.351,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0d…2044backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over34c101.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3445452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under54c101.02$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.516141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over31c95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1911826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc061…5eb9backed Over11c93.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6132…2e70backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4985…fa89backed Under52c91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+143.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb43e…fecfbacked Under54c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.553441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.911,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over49c84.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4614047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over46c78.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over44c76.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5923651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over47c75.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5191746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked Under53c75.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2912949.6%64 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c73.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.373,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b22…dd09backed Over49c69.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under64c63.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.737848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over47c61.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.661,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under53c59.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.246255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.