TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,485 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Nets46c22,134$10,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,181.6430845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers54c14,622$7,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,726.211,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Trail Blazers55c11,261$6,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,057.7734851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Nets44c9,445$4,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,155.8729245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Nets46c7,107$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.2211335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Trail Blazers54c6,659$3,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.3272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Nets48c6,631$3,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,182.9139842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets43c5,638$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers53c5,623$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.671,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers55c4,529$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Nets47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Trail Blazers53c2,737$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.319952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Trail Blazers56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.5756453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Trail Blazers52c2,571$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.0723147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Nets48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Trail Blazers56c1,820$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.864651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Trail Blazers52c1,731$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.7730446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets44c1,462$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.286,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers55c1,351$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.954,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Trail Blazers53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Nets45c839.62$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.811,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets46c757.71$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.413,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Trail Blazers53c754.8$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.810835.2%38 W · 70 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Nets49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Trail Blazers53c490.57$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5723550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Trail Blazers55c483.64$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Trail Blazers56c437.5$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Nets44c420.9$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1926034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ecc…3953backed Trail Blazers76c394.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.52966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Trail Blazers52c388.92$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6845151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed6…46e2backed Trail Blazers55c365.72$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.571154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nets35c362.5$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.413,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc574…b9dabacked Trail Blazers56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.146033.3%20 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Nets48c323$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0418043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Trail Blazers56c269.54$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5490957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Trail Blazers57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1628536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets47c262.07$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.174,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Nets48c260.42$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers56c239$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.162,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Nets48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9638740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Trail Blazers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8661957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Trail Blazers53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.689159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Trail Blazers53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687841%32 W · 46 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Nets44c188.58$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5129344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Trail Blazers78c181.18$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.531,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Nets44c180.84$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6721349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Nets39c165.87$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0751438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81d6…0aaabacked Nets47c139$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Nets46c125$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.56550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Nets49c123.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.975648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Trail Blazers52c119.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.682440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers52c100.61$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.624,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Trail Blazers53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474751.1%24 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Trail Blazers54c94.69$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Trail Blazers55c91.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.620847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Trail Blazers55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9138453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Trail Blazers56c89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1613954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Trail Blazers55c86.52$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9457650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Trail Blazers54c86.39$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.742,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets23c86.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.783,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Nets45c85.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Trail Blazers53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9123051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Nets49c83.94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1312739.4%50 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Trail Blazers53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.615240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers66c78.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Trail Blazers55c78.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.181533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Trail Blazers53c75.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5718143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73b8…020dbacked Nets46c74.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.293148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Trail Blazers57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1822447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Trail Blazers52c65.37$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.391746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd8…2113backed Trail Blazers53c65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+43.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x819d…8d4cbacked Nets44c63.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Nets44c63.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0687744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9265backed Nets49c61.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.972751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets43c59.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.721,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Nets44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510462.5%65 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Trail Blazers53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.693145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Trail Blazers78c56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5443269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Nets45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3b1…ca43backed Trail Blazers55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d9…bad0backed Trail Blazers53c54.45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.636864.7%44 W · 24 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f7c…8ae5backed Nets46c52.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.972356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Nets50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2638252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Nets46c50.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3223446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nets26c50.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.311,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbeaf…baefbacked Nets48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Nets27c49.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Trail Blazers52c45.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.011,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e4…4bc7backed Nets47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.152445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x367b…a306backed Nets46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Trail Blazers56c43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.925738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb1…fa48backed Nets45c41.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83df…362fbacked Nets47c41.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd8…a382backed Nets49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Nets42c38.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2645653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ee…99a6backed Trail Blazers53c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99a5…328ebacked Trail Blazers53c33.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7310844.4%48 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x534a…023abacked Trail Blazers56c33.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.675044%22 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Nets48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc9…c447backed Trail Blazers53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.