NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd301930a220c265359280025e1ab2204c25052d2db135073df08cc25ef477825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,191 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 57,671$29,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,008.62 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Under | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Over | 51c | 41,245$21,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,034.99 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 34,127$16,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,267.75 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…edc9backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…d213backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 50c | 19,973$9,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,986.5 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 16,115$8,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,035.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Under | 50c | 14,250$7,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,139.08 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d41…8008backed Over | 50c | 13,994$6,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,997 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 50c | 11,300$5,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,650 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 50c | 9,600$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 9,348$4,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.03 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 9,052$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,609.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…3c88backed Over | 50c | 8,507$4,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,253.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3632…7e1ebacked Over | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa669…a7c2backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…ed78backed Over | 50c | 7,998$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb104…1453backed Over | 51c | 7,142$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf96…7d38backed Under | 49c | 7,043$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…a0d1backed Under | 49c | 6,942$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25da…3ed1backed Under | 50c | 6,763$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,381.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a6…9dbebacked Under | 49c | 6,538$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc704…bbd7backed Over | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 5,994$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.14 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Over | 50c | 5,961$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…0a60backed Over | 49c | 5,903$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 5,819$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Over | 50c | 5,731$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.32 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf314…4a2dbacked Under | 49c | 5,450$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…bc18backed Over | 51c | 5,410$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Under | 50c | 5,220$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…b52dbacked Over | 51c | 5,180$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…4bdfbacked Over | 49c | 5,092$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 50c | 5,075$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c0…27febacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 4,841$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cf…1cc3backed Under | 51c | 4,812$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 49c | 4,488$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.2 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 4,331$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.5 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 52c | 4,248$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.83 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…27d8backed Over | 49c | 4,058$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 3,750$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.5 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e19…59f3backed Under | 51c | 3,735$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 3,565$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 3,098$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.19 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95a…1820backed Under | 51c | 2,958$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x599c…497abacked Over | 49c | 2,956$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…f2fbbacked Over | 49c | 2,864$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…d267backed Under | 51c | 2,827$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…aa37backed Over | 49c | 2,793$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a16…6afdbacked Under | 51c | 2,792$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…0b2abacked Under | 51c | 2,764$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 2,728$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b74…e530backed Under | 51c | 2,603$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6075…8e15backed Over | 49c | 2,588$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3897…d41abacked Over | 49c | 2,575$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 50c | 2,572$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…f33ebacked Over | 49c | 2,566$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Over | 50c | 2,538$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…c3e3backed Over | 49c | 2,506$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee10…2c44backed Under | 51c | 2,450$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…0a1abacked Under | 51c | 2,410$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 49c | 2,329$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…669fbacked Under | 51c | 2,229$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2829…309bbacked Under | 51c | 2,205$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbc…13c7backed Under | 51c | 2,129$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…928bbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,804$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.73 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,578$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc7…4bd4backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…5fc0backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 1,471$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.75 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 50c | 1,439$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 1,272$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 50c | 1,163$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.07 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 49c | 1,151$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 55c | 933.32$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 900$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 803.92$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 53c | 788.2$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.45 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 72c | 755.23$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.46 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…a4d5backed Over | 50c | 654$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…7e7fbacked Over | 51c | 650.27$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.64 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 50c | 454.31$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.22 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Under | 49c | 452.81$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.93 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
- Josh Minott: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-17.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-18.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-19.5)Nets won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-24.5)Nets won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. NetsTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.