Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3244c5f4252c576c9dcf3a656778c54c0c5db3b20ef6b98327eb494b17c443f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Florida Bullsof Charlotte 49ers, South Florida Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,857 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Charlotte 49ers | 16c | 7,810$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.92 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Charlotte 49ers | 8c | 4,534$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.82 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Charlotte 49ers | 7c | 2,707$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Charlotte 49ers | 6c | 2,234$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.21 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Charlotte 49ers | 7c | 1,816$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.44 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 1,594$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.92 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 897.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Charlotte 49ers | 7c | 895.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b9…7d93backed Charlotte 49ers | 9c | 763.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Charlotte 49ers | 5c | 733.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Charlotte 49ers | 8c | 581.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 440.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Charlotte 49ers | 7c | 417.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Charlotte 49ers | 7c | 399.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 399.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 365$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 335.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Charlotte 49ers | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Charlotte 49ers | 9c | 276.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Charlotte 49ers | 10c | 241.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Charlotte 49ers | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 7c | 199.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Charlotte 49ers | 6c | 170.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Charlotte 49ers | 13c | 115.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida Bullsthis page
- Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 152.5Under won
- Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 153.5Under won
- Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-16.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.