NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22023c81535e7e8bc02d116e9ee93418545027d4c9a72a738420030e1b8b1a12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,068,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,068,638 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 56c | 180,313$100,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,141.08 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Sharks | 45c | 115,000$51,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,749.91 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Islanders | 57c | 97,000$55,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,710.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sharks | 43c | 46,308$19,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,905.46 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb4…47c2backed Sharks | 48c | 39,874$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sharks | 44c | 38,737$17,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,131.75 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Sharks | 43c | 23,302$10,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,020.01 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Sharks | 46c | 22,000$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,119.99 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks | 44c | 19,548$8,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600.77 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Sharks | 43c | 18,888$8,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,121.84 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Sharks | 28c | 17,683$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Islanders | 54c | 17,257$9,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,992.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 69c | 16,572$11,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,144.84 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sharks | 43c | 15,562$6,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,692.35 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sharks | 48c | 12,519$6,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,003 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Islanders | 55c | 12,446$6,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,649.58 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Islanders | 57c | 12,418$7,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,340.84 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Sharks | 44c | 11,052$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,863 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Sharks | 44c | 10,623$4,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.3 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Islanders | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Islanders | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.1 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Islanders | 56c | 10,000$5,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…f88abacked Sharks | 47c | 9,936$4,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,663.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sharks | 43c | 9,884$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.97 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Islanders | 51c | 8,689$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.36 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 55c | 8,625$4,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,838.81 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440.22 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Sharks | 43c | 6,870$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.09 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 38c | 6,858$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.69 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Islanders | 53c | 6,195$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.82 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…acf5backed Sharks | 44c | 5,896$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Sharks | 44c | 5,659$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Sharks | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Islanders | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.09 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Islanders | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Islanders | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.3 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Islanders | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders | 56c | 4,960$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.89 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders | 51c | 4,875$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.09 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sharks | 44c | 4,648$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.68 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sharks | 44c | 4,644$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.36 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 56c | 4,427$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.81 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Sharks | 57c | 4,405$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1f2bbacked Sharks | 44c | 3,964$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Sharks | 1c | 3,745$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Sharks | 43c | 3,726$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.97 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.3 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 56c | 3,480$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.58 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Sharks | 44c | 3,464$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Sharks | 44c | 3,363$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.72 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders | 56c | 3,284$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.91 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 56c | 3,227$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.67 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Sharks | 44c | 3,171$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.04 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Sharks | 1c | 3,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Sharks | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Islanders | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Sharks | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…286abacked Sharks | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Sharks | 1c | 2,400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +971.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sharks | 44c | 2,377$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.85 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Islanders | 57c | 2,372$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.89 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Islanders | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.1 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Islanders | 56c | 2,150$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.61 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Sharks | 44c | 2,124$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.75 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Sharks | 46c | 2,100$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.7 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sharks | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…47c7backed Sharks | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…889abacked Islanders | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Islanders | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014b…d730backed Islanders | 56c | 1,995$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…0f94backed Islanders | 56c | 1,995$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…6e31backed Sharks | 44c | 1,995$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e1…673ebacked Sharks | 44c | 1,995$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…3926backed Sharks | 44c | 1,990$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8448…b2dabacked Islanders | 56c | 1,990$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…51b4backed Sharks | 44c | 1,990$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…7fecbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,990$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.6 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.39per pick | 53cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f09…aa14backed Sharks | 44c | 1,985$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x956e…f836backed Islanders | 56c | 1,985$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…5522backed Islanders | 56c | 1,965$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb94…044cbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,965$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…1314backed Sharks | 44c | 1,965$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…3b91backed Sharks | 44c | 1,965$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7012backed Sharks | 44c | 1,965$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…dcb6backed Islanders | 56c | 1,965$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…8fe3backed Sharks | 44c | 1,960$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7047…8a7dbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,960$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…984fbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,955$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…0fefbacked Sharks | 44c | 1,955$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2e…cf1bbacked Sharks | 44c | 1,950$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…6c6cbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,950$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…4af2backed Islanders | 56c | 1,950$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…63a2backed Islanders | 56c | 1,950$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…60cbbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,950$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d77…ec4abacked Sharks | 44c | 1,950$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…a7edbacked Sharks | 44c | 1,950$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…5f9dbacked Sharks | 44c | 1,950$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…b5ffbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,950$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd2…f1d8backed Sharks | 44c | 1,950$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Sharksthis page
- Islanders vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.