TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Natus Vincere, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,012,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,012,936 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 646 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked Legacy41c122,525$49,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,616.37147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere60c85,537$50,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,956.0742440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Natus Vincere28c60,035$16,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,899.9414441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Legacy71c38,478$27,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,285.913,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Natus Vincere36c29,502$10,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,738.4430340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Legacy39c29,334$11,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,857.7572453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked Legacy41c28,854$11,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,050.566048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Legacy66c21,900$14,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,501.6223355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Legacy40c20,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0005444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x459d…f6e2backed Natus Vincere60c19,293$11,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,573.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Legacy40c17,240$6,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,343.8516449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere59c12,861$7,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,589.1545848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Natus Vincere64c10,977$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Natus Vincere59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.9937946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Natus Vincere40c9,900$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96019757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Natus Vincere59c9,889$5,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,879.1227133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere60c9,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.8836152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere59c9,000$5,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,31035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Legacy40c8,818$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,290.799256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Legacy57c8,652$4,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,691.522128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Legacy39c8,594$3,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,242.6319645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere59c7,573$4,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,472.8883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked Legacy69c7,196$4,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.655855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Legacy41c7,000$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,131.122849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Legacy70c6,771$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.6415760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Legacy40c6,250$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,75012552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Legacy41c6,000$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,540.23862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+57.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Legacy40c6,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Natus Vincere60c5,791$3,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4742250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Natus Vincere60c5,772$3,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,463.25848.3%28 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Natus Vincere60c5,596$3,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,357.5824846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Natus Vincere59c5,040$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.629046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere58c4,969$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,886.791,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Legacy41c4,880$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.355651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Legacy38c4,800$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,975.996536.9%24 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere60c4,764$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.6435850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Natus Vincere58c4,647$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7008951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Legacy38c4,601$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.7371645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Natus Vincere39c4,467$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.531861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb546…802cbacked Legacy76c4,390$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.851850%9 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x602a…0d75backed Natus Vincere38c4,330$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.392339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Natus Vincere59c4,143$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.2910138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Natus Vincere59c4,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Legacy64c3,824$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.3488746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere60c3,636$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.997152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71dd…31ebbacked Legacy70c3,622$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.952075%15 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+63.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere62c3,500$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1705,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Legacy41c3,447$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.898261%50 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere29c3,380$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.212,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1e…cdb6backed Natus Vincere60c3,319$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Legacy41c3,275$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.6720946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere62c3,243$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Natus Vincere61c3,200$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95284958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere32c3,190$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.476,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Legacy65c3,100$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.86544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7401,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Natus Vincere59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77016152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9742142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0aa…f85ebacked Natus Vincere56c2,950$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere4c2,874$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.537,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Natus Vincere60c2,845$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.678458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy40c2,677$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.371,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Natus Vincere39c2,594$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…51bbbacked Natus Vincere1c2,525$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Legacy60c2,454$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.925,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Legacy42c2,402$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.5725440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Natus Vincere61c2,352$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.8420944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe327…0c8abacked Natus Vincere60c2,333$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Natus Vincere60c2,306$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.417856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4604…6940backed Natus Vincere27c2,304$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Natus Vincere60c2,145$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28720838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Legacy36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28011852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Natus Vincere60c2,000$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.4526952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Natus Vincere43c2,000$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.3757358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere37c1,955$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.861228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0b…e35fbacked Natus Vincere60c1,891$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere61c1,849$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.8784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Legacy72c1,833$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.4711143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Natus Vincere37c1,705$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.055349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Legacy70c1,701$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.931,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Natus Vincere60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Natus Vincere60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Natus Vincere48c1,665$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.7514853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Natus Vincere31c1,646$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51115436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Legacy40c1,600$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.4960848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Natus Vincere40c1,585$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6346836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Natus Vincere60c1,583$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.8918752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Natus Vincere35c1,554$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.376858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Legacy40c1,501$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.678639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Legacy40c1,500$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.5516149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Legacy40c1,487$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7927459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Legacy63c1,475$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.4998052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Natus Vincere38c1,411$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.236245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Natus Vincere35c1,377$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4877061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Natus Vincere61c1,283$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.6322448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Legacy65c1,281$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.092944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy65c1,277$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.491,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Natus Vincere27c1,270$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.739834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Legacy40c1,198$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.155236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed Natus Vincere37c1,186$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43924944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.