CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x644f0104118d4f9018494a46434fb780410ff55794faab3bce29f42abecc08c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Natus Vincere, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,193 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 17,354$10,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,308.21 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 13,446$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Legacy | 40c | 10,869$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,529.8 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Legacy | 63c | 10,490$6,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.59 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 8,910$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,346 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Legacy | 49c | 7,834$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.9 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Legacy | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 352 | 54%190 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Legacy | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Legacy | 41c | 4,872$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.98 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Legacy | 45c | 3,933$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.11 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy | 52c | 3,445$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.74 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Legacy | 53c | 3,370$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Legacy | 55c | 3,342$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.19 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Legacy | 59c | 3,179$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.85 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,999$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.06 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy | 54c | 2,988$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.79 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,700$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,251$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Legacy | 40c | 2,222$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.19 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Legacy | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,706$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Legacy | 32c | 1,565$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.42 | 256 | 40.2%103 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Legacy | 37c | 1,483$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.2 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,389$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.06 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Legacy | 52c | 1,388$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.82 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,231$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.73 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Legacy | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Legacy | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,176$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.64 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Legacy | 42c | 1,114$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.18 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,053$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.91 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…35ccbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,049$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f91dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 954.61$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Legacy | 46c | 943.7$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.09 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…3823backed Legacy | 42c | 916.34$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 886.9$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.02 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 860$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.28 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…9d3cbacked Legacy | 57c | 845.79$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 824.59$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Legacy | 49c | 817.73$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.35 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 770$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.48 | 448 | 48.4%217 W · 231 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 718.33$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…7056backed Legacy | 40c | 666.95$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.17 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Legacy | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Legacy | 35c | 572.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.29 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 542.18$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 535.1$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.45 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 528$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 500$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Legacy | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 476.48$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Legacy | 39c | 471.97$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.9 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Legacy | 48c | 468.54$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.27 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 467.23$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.91 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 449$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.42 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 439.28$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.31 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 429.51$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.01 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 423.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legacy | 40c | 419.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 418.14$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.34 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Legacy | 43c | 400.27$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.67 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Legacy | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Legacy | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 388$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.94 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 385.88$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.78 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 371.37$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 338$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Legacy | 41c | 331.34$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…5ca6backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Legacy | 46c | 305.57$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.59 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 300$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…edebbacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed Legacy | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 291.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 285.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Legacy | 61c | 265.31$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked Legacy | 52c | 254$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +13.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 236.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Legacy | 41c | 222.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.43 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 221$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…d8babacked Legacy | 45c | 216.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Legacy | 47c | 212.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.59 | 256 | 45.7%117 W · 139 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy | 44c | 202.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.71 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 200.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 207 | 44.4%92 W · 115 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 200.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Legacy | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 234 | 33.3%78 W · 156 L | -22.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…4d93backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Legacy | 53c | 187.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Legacy | 39c | 183.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…15f2backed Legacy | 66c | 175.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Legacy won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.