CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c172cd31790f0b64df9671b07b6fe372113f438b8fefa416ef0a5b95e96acc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Natus Vincere, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,516 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 7,023$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 5,919$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.35 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Legacy | 47c | 3,970$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.2 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Legacy | 73c | 3,825$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.85 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,500$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.92 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,131$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.08 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 2,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,993$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.33 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Legacy | 46c | 1,609$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.7 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,200$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Legacy | 73c | 1,162$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.83 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 1,066$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,027$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.81 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Legacy | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 923.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Legacy | 52c | 654.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Legacy | 65c | 617.01$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.08 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Legacy | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 584.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Legacy | 48c | 495.33$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.57 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Legacy | 46c | 460$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy | 64c | 445.53$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.48 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 383.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 377.3$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Legacy | 46c | 355.65$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.45 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Legacy | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Legacy | 54c | 289.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Legacy | 45c | 288$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 237.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 221$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Legacy | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 216.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Legacy | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Legacy | 79c | 197.64$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 191.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 185.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Legacy | 74c | 184$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…bea7backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 179.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Legacy | 47c | 176.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 162.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 161.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…55d6backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 153.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 150.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Legacy | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 146.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 142.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9252…6069backed Legacy | 77c | 130.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…3045backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb452…d901backed Legacy | 46c | 129.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 127.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…822bbacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Legacy | 61c | 124.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 121.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 113.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Legacy | 74c | 101.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 91.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 89.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Legacy | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 82.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 81.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe902…eda4backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 73.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c16…9145backed Legacy | 61c | 70.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 59.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Legacy | 48c | 57.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 55.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…fa2bbacked Legacy | 66c | 54.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 54.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Legacy | 56c | 51.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…8966backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Legacy | 72c | 48.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 47.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked Legacy | 44c | 46.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Legacy | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 262 | 49.2%129 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…2d56backed Legacy | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd34…830cbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa6…8046backed Legacy | 66c | 34.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Legacy | 63c | 29.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked Legacy | 47c | 27.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Legacy | 44c | 23.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Legacy | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…739fbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Legacy | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Legacy won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.