TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Natus Vincere, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,731 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7645…3117backed Legacy65c1,819$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.7371645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Natus Vincere35c1,714$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab0…b709backed Natus Vincere34c598$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere37c500$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.495,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed Legacy71c420.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.639268.5%63 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1537…cdc1backed Natus Vincere34c386$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Legacy62c385.82$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.611,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f64…c26ebacked Natus Vincere33c381$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c4a…eac6backed Natus Vincere33c352$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd405…20f2backed Natus Vincere34c309$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdd7…6b06backed Natus Vincere33c306$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Legacy69c288.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5760857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad69…67bcbacked Legacy66c286$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…a4a3backed Legacy67c286$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f0…b4ccbacked Legacy66c274$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5365…b30abacked Legacy66c274$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6321…7091backed Legacy66c271$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dbf…2c8cbacked Legacy66c265$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf245…3152backed Natus Vincere34c258$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…f469backed Legacy66c253$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3125…6f2dbacked Natus Vincere33c253$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d4…c5dcbacked Natus Vincere34c251$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca6…46cbbacked Legacy66c251$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d2…43ecbacked Legacy67c244$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3720…280dbacked Legacy66c242$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c4d…87a0backed Legacy66c240$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63e4…1228backed Legacy67c238$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08bb…3ba9backed Legacy66c237$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34dd…97ccbacked Legacy66c234$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ccc…2067backed Natus Vincere33c233$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f4…f79dbacked Legacy66c229$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b42…1b48backed Natus Vincere34c223$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Natus Vincere30c222$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.631933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x129e…49bcbacked Legacy67c222$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf781…fc38backed Legacy66c218$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe181…cd0fbacked Natus Vincere34c216$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3c…edc4backed Legacy67c208$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea0c…dd69backed Legacy67c207$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47f…2a79backed Natus Vincere34c206$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c0e…d916backed Natus Vincere33c204$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Natus Vincere31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6213947.5%66 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…4a77backed Natus Vincere34c199$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…6eadbacked Legacy67c198$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5f…0b25backed Legacy67c194$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3b41backed Natus Vincere33c193$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80e7…7c93backed Natus Vincere34c190$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3608…7f93backed Legacy67c188$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Legacy66c182.4$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.391,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62d5…d93abacked Legacy66c180$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…cb35backed Natus Vincere33c178$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc14e…0569backed Natus Vincere34c177$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd66d…adbcbacked Legacy67c176$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda38…7401backed Natus Vincere34c175$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Natus Vincere34c174.05$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.188535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bd6…d2d5backed Legacy67c174$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a45…e2bcbacked Natus Vincere34c168$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ad…4683backed Legacy67c164$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bf…b27fbacked Legacy67c162$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b54…5fcfbacked Legacy67c162$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x153b…c2a4backed Legacy66c161$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5845…c91fbacked Legacy66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+118.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa411…1601backed Legacy67c153$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3b…9f99backed Natus Vincere34c151$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93dc…7936backed Natus Vincere34c149$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc42…9c3ebacked Legacy67c149$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a6…faf4backed Natus Vincere34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda92…a7c6backed Legacy66c146$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2123…099bbacked Natus Vincere34c143$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19bc…2bb5backed Natus Vincere33c135$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d1…5053backed Natus Vincere34c126$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a14…8ccbbacked Natus Vincere34c107$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9d…464ebacked Natus Vincere33c102$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a2…d57abacked Natus Vincere33c99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…7aa9backed Natus Vincere33c94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x373e…a80abacked Natus Vincere34c92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf617…ee4cbacked Natus Vincere33c85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff27…86f9backed Natus Vincere33c85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78be…3dc9backed Natus Vincere33c85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3357…0972backed Natus Vincere33c83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Natus Vincere22c82.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.812,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7816…59d2backed Natus Vincere33c82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de4…b3afbacked Natus Vincere33c76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bda…f162backed Natus Vincere33c73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Legacy66c63.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7845639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Natus Vincere22c62.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7815436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3713…18bfbacked Natus Vincere40c62.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Legacy61c60.6$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6350947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde13…8dd5backed Legacy66c52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c24…921dbacked Natus Vincere35c49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.152429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1575…5323backed Legacy66c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f42…d0b5backed Legacy66c34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c74…ded8backed Legacy66c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2f…c7bfbacked Legacy66c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.