TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,290 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over49c110,000$53,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,799.5139249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under51c104,880$53,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,391.222049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.584459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.984548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8edf…7eadbacked Under45c2,006$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Under55c1,997$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.438951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c1,579$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.753,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Over47c1,024$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48120838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over46c789.09$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9958743.4%255 W · 332 L-2.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3191…0665backed Under55c613.24$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Over57c443.73$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.9317857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6867…f8d2backed Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed Over47c422.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Over45c363.34$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under77c349.02$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.315349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Over57c332.17$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3217042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14515954.7%87 W · 72 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca5e…4af1backed Over45c242.38$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.071643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over41c218.24$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.481,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004542.2%19 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Under50c200.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6825352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Over58c176.07$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1214041.4%58 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under57c174.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.214843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa175…037bbacked Over46c172.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under50c164.18$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.715436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Over62c161.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x537d…615bbacked Under56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Over48c146.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under56c145$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.121,64332.8%539 W · 1,104 L-48.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over56c140.32$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5871651%365 W · 351 L+28.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over58c134.7$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1323355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Under49c109.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4b…284abacked Under53c105.08$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Over44c104.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3225337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Under52c102.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.431936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.128856.6%163 W · 125 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cca…17e5backed Over65c98.77$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6556…f5b4backed Over61c98.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over60c91.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.036450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked Over40c90.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.073834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed Over59c84.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Under37c81.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3936645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Over57c69.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1108…3f40backed Under56c69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c65.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.391,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Over45c64.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1217153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over50c63.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.631239.7%124 W · 188 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Under56c63.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.022152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7649…a58dbacked Under53c61.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over50c58.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.229940.4%40 W · 59 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.62263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5142…ee20backed Under52c56.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.191968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd574…3152backed Over47c54.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.78444%37 W · 47 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over46c53.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.512857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Over46c52.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2416444.5%73 W · 91 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4218…ff0ebacked Under45c48.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under40c48.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.162,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over49c47.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4449041.8%205 W · 285 L-18.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c46.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.081850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Under54c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.161471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Under56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Over47c43.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2854850%274 W · 274 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under44c42.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4752755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe140…949fbacked Over59c41.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.756245.2%28 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over44c41.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.445639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.881246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.212856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4baa…fd17backed Under56c39.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x562e…922bbacked Over58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76cf…47d5backed Under56c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x356b…1c3fbacked Under38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under38c29.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3429547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over37c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.693,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc71a…bd90backed Under56c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Under56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.798560%51 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over50c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.415,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2553…f16bbacked Under56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.124100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+96.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over50c20.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.451,54633.8%523 W · 1,023 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8891…6eedbacked Under53c20.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b6e…5d2cbacked Under56c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.