Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8e8b9cd02f6658ad6011530ece2650290aa528c8e27c8e6ea16e742d4e764f7

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $170,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $154,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,050 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	1c	30,080$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.24	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes	19c	9,955$1,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,891.41	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	8,159$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.32	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Yes	14c	4,464$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.92	156	42.9%67 W · 89 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91eb…da31backed Yes	15c	3,825$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.28	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes	18c	2,857$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.33	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	18c	2,836$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.49	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	14c	2,567$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.19	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	13c	2,500$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4d…3c34backed Yes	19c	2,323$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes	18c	2,242$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.51	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-31%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Yes	18c	2,223$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.13	258	57.4%148 W · 110 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Yes	19c	2,222$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.18	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes	15c	1,675$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.8	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6219…cff6backed Yes	19c	1,592$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d08…8b24backed Yes	16c	1,507$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.98	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	13c	1,500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Yes	12c	1,405$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.85	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	14c	1,400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	186	44.6%83 W · 103 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes	12c	1,132$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.84	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40f0…f925backed Yes	17c	1,067$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.33	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf874…7c71backed Yes	20c	1,006$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Yes	19c	1,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	76	21.1%16 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	18c	999.98$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2837…e9fabacked Yes	14c	940.89$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.72	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	17c	890.32$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.55	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Yes	19c	842.11$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	2c	830$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes	11c	735.3$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.55	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…28d6backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	13c	681.41$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.56	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x517c…e3fcbacked Yes	18c	654.43$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	51	31.4%16 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	19.6%44 W · 180 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	139	51.8%72 W · 67 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes	14c	514.29$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe661…0eb1backed Yes	20c	500.7$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6633…f066backed Yes	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+4.5wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf25…cd94backed Yes	14c	494.65$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.25	48	25%12 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf616…a299backed Yes	20c	493.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes	18c	478.52$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.13	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-6.2wins	-0.16per pick	21cpaid	-92.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	17c	417.79$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.86	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a80…b808backed Yes	19c	411.63$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.21	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40de…65d6backed Yes	19c	405.26$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	16c	388.26$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.12	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3a…610abacked Yes	14c	387$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.7	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8825…9c18backed Yes	19c	368.42$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes	6c	359$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	54	13%7 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	125	56.8%71 W · 54 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9720…76b9backed Yes	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4248…d43fbacked Yes	10c	353.92$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.94	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	19c	351.64$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.71	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0605…1593backed Yes	19c	350$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.5	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	13c	346.22$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.01	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	18c	346.2$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.62	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16d7…1c40backed Yes	19c	313.16$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes	16c	309.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	14c	307$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.98	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes	14c	300.07$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.12	226	50.9%115 W · 111 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes	13c	300$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Yes	18c	290$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.2	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc871…7d99backed Yes	19c	284.59$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bb8…c74dbacked Yes	12c	284.58$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.15	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc449…037cbacked Yes	10c	266.57$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.23	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c57…ebb9backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f15…2508backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes	20c	261$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.06	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed Yes	19c	250$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…30abbacked Yes	16c	243.63$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.98	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Yes	14c	219.7$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.04	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes	13c	203.94$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.01	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5e…7761backed Yes	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	200	17%34 W · 166 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b97…fc45backed Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+3.9wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes	8c	196.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.73	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	7c	186.4$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes	19c	180.58$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.71	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf046…df5dbacked Yes	18c	179.09$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	13cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x672e…91febacked Yes	15c	177.7$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2a…65b3backed Yes	20c	175$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x159d…5de0backed Yes	16c	153.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	11c	148.49$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.63	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	19c	145$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.55	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df9…aa62backed Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7685…f8c9backed Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ea…449cbacked Yes	19c	142.08$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.95	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	13c	131.88$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.14	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22cb…fc40backed Yes	19c	131.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc100…7252backed Yes	18c	125.08$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Yes	20c	125$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.38	128	47.7%61 W · 67 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8418…efe0backed Yes	20c	125$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd11c…af88backed Yes	18c	113.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event