Fifa International · resolved market
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7b34c55da0fcd45908bbc802c5fbd5f650e9b4dbb8639bfcd32baee8c62e243
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $319,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94e4…87e0backed Yes | 12c | 183,085$22,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,047.88 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 5c | 7,586$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.15 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 8c | 4,997$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.72 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 9c | 4,500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.87 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,799$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.89 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,281$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…76b9backed Yes | 4c | 2,023$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 2,019$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.74 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 7c | 2,013$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.19 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…3c34backed Yes | 10c | 1,946$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…e9fabacked Yes | 6c | 1,931$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 8c | 1,815$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.56 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 2c | 1,623$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…34bcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,565$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 9c | 1,519$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…314cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,491$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…e74cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,242$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 7c | 1,213$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 1,112$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…babdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,071$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Yes | 6c | 999.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bc…ea6abacked Yes | 7c | 999.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 6c | 659.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…1c40backed Yes | 9c | 611.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8418…efe0backed Yes | 9c | 588$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…076ebacked Yes | 3c | 527.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…b8debacked Yes | 10c | 513.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…ed9dbacked Yes | 10c | 512.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 9c | 509.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 9c | 500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 5c | 479.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked Yes | 9c | 468.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 3c | 453.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 9c | 453.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 6c | 412.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 9c | 345.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 316.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Yes | 9c | 282.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 9c | 271.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…ebe9backed Yes | 5c | 268.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 7c | 258.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 8c | 251$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299e…25b6backed Yes | 8c | 243.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 9c | 235.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a99…7d64backed Yes | 9c | 229.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…f190backed Yes | 7c | 220.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…3bc7backed Yes | 10c | 165.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac0…393cbacked Yes | 9c | 165.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 8c | 156.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 9c | 153.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…449cbacked Yes | 9c | 152.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 10c | 149.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 128.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…d18bbacked Yes | 9c | 110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…f77abacked Yes | 10c | 101.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.