Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x174018cba2df7afe76f434e8ca93e55c76f2eb13015a5caf941ce6d270ba6264
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $794,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $856,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $794,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 626 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed No | 1c | 139,964$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.42 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…87e0backed No | 31c | 60,581$19,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,015.97 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 28c | 49,718$13,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,921.18 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…cd94backed No | 1c | 37,515$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.54 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 28c | 30,709$8,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.17 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 68c | 27,488$18,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,793.19 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 77c | 16,935$12,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,972.43 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…198cbacked No | 29c | 15,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.99 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 25c | 14,446$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.41 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked No | 29c | 11,000$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.99 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 0c | 10,712$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 71c | 10,268$7,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.84 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8489…a276backed Yes | 72c | 10,038$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…59c1backed Yes | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 19c | 9,766$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.92 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Yes | 72c | 8,800$6,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 75c | 8,453$6,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.18 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 68c | 7,484$5,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.88 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 70c | 6,500$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.86 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 6,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 13c | 5,867$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.69 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…a98cbacked Yes | 71c | 5,634$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.8 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 73c | 5,600$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.1 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…e9dcbacked Yes | 72c | 5,502$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.44 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 21c | 5,281$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.64 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 75c | 5,000$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed No | 14c | 4,907$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.97 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Yes | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 69c | 3,906$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.85 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 28c | 3,892$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.47 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d2…b1c7backed Yes | 78c | 3,504$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…5a83backed No | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,303$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0923…bd50backed No | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -78%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 73c | 2,963$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.92 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 25c | 2,816$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 20c | 2,683$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.59 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 28c | 2,642$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.55 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 28c | 2,449$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.79 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 23c | 2,448$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.54 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 67c | 2,312$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.02 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 2,272$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes | 72c | 2,205$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.98 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…38a3backed No | 4c | 2,142$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 72c | 2,100$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 1c | 2,060$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 19c | 1,975$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.38 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 17c | 1,933$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.11 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…4f0ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,929$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 30c | 1,879$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.8 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d2…0b25backed No | 12c | 1,708$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 22c | 1,704$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.02 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 27c | 1,668$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.34 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…f39abacked Yes | 75c | 1,667$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 69c | 1,631$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.98 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 19c | 1,592$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.32 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…450fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,528$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.6 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 28c | 1,524$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.58 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.97 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 24c | 1,500$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.6 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked No | 33c | 1,477$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.51 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1069backed Yes | 77c | 1,419$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes | 71c | 1,379$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.89 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 24c | 1,340$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 28c | 1,317$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.78 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…1af3backed Yes | 79c | 1,262$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…6caebacked Yes | 72c | 1,244$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 26c | 1,218$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.53 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 23c | 1,200$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.64 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 80c | 1,109$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.79 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 72c | 1,100$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed No | 15c | 1,094$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…fe14backed No | 14c | 1,050$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…d43fbacked No | 15c | 1,042$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…4c9fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…0ab8backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…c804backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 73c | 999.96$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eec…e7aebacked No | 23c | 967$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed Yes | 69c | 966.26$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.54 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Yes | 72c | 957.88$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.88 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 22c | 900$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 28c | 897.69$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.23 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 30c | 875.3$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.59 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.