Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c940da8a9d3d87c3f0cedf82511ea6c104653648e18bf866c61cfb765ebef3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 10c | 33,066$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.19 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 1c | 18,969$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed No | 59c | 10,978$6,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 11c | 8,512$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.23 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…47a7backed Yes | 33c | 7,692$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 15c | 7,518$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.5 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b6cbbacked Yes | 16c | 7,012$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.85 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 70c | 5,622$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.18 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 21c | 5,269$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.98 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 59c | 5,036$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.87 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed Yes | 17c | 4,767$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.78 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 16c | 4,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.92 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed Yes | 6c | 3,805$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.86 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…75d9backed Yes | 52c | 3,704$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 79c | 2,822$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.99 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed Yes | 18c | 2,412$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.08 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 63c | 2,300$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,276$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.48 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 8c | 2,029$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…a85bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,979$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.9 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,953$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.04 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed Yes | 9c | 1,900$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 28c | 1,812$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.11 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,636$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 5c | 1,596$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 15c | 1,488$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.07 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 8c | 1,446$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 7c | 1,336$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…88f3backed Yes | 1c | 1,262$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…b896backed Yes | 16c | 1,228$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 9c | 1,209$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 6c | 1,119$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 12c | 1,070$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,039$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…99dabacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…65febacked Yes | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 8c | 899.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b9…e1e7backed Yes | 12c | 828.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 803.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe0…b492backed Yes | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 799.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked Yes | 9c | 675.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 5c | 576.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 19c | 519.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d86…5c2bbacked Yes | 10c | 499.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 42c | 460.66$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.75 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…a37bbacked Yes | 48c | 403.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…ebefbacked Yes | 17c | 390.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fb…9f17backed Yes | 6c | 374.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 21c | 356.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…d243backed No | 75c | 326.1$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…67a3backed No | 60c | 323.73$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.49 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…3a47backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…444abacked Yes | 7c | 295.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…b521backed Yes | 30c | 290.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd158…d4f4backed Yes | 15c | 274.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 8c | 273.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…c072backed Yes | 7c | 261$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…54a5backed Yes | 25c | 259.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…426fbacked Yes | 11c | 254.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…c27ebacked Yes | 6c | 252.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Yes | 23c | 239.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 80c | 233.73$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…33b5backed Yes | 12c | 224.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 41c | 220.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…1cc3backed Yes | 12c | 205.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa360…4799backed Yes | 30c | 204.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9951…8644backed Yes | 11c | 199.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…bde5backed Yes | 8c | 197.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9a…e8c6backed Yes | 10c | 197.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…338ebacked Yes | 26c | 196.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 10c | 193.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…33ddbacked Yes | 18c | 183.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed Yes | 42c | 164.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…675fbacked No | 59c | 164.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…9337backed Yes | 17c | 147.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…8a46backed Yes | 19c | 144.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a36…5cbfbacked Yes | 15c | 143.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…196cbacked Yes | 41c | 140.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed No | 60c | 139.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 129.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…1103backed Yes | 9c | 125.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…9207backed No | 57c | 124.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed Yes | 20c | 124.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…1489backed Yes | 12c | 118.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…134fbacked Yes | 14c | 116.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…980abacked Yes | 9c | 114.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked Yes | 23c | 113.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…edd8backed Yes | 18c | 108.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…cb2ebacked No | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb6…f165backed Yes | 39c | 99.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…c68fbacked No | 71c | 94.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…dacabacked Yes | 18c | 90.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c25…2b77backed No | 65c | 77.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 71c | 76.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3df…bd7fbacked Yes | 15c | 69.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed Yes | 22c | 68.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 23-29?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 23-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.