Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe2f7ac9295f0418785fcba1546b180a3cd25d4b90388c46c5bb76118af4c887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 2c | 17,513$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.21 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfd…b796backed Yes | 0c | 15,211$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 37c | 7,586$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.16 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b6cbbacked Yes | 40c | 3,959$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.05 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,697$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 0c | 3,302$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,800$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8693…31cdbacked Yes | 7c | 2,774$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 43c | 2,443$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.2 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…867fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,260$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 1c | 2,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed Yes | 30c | 1,959$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 51c | 1,937$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.22 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 2c | 1,920$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…8916backed No | 59c | 1,804$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…7102backed Yes | 1c | 1,722$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 42c | 1,587$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.27 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81b…6ca9backed Yes | 2c | 1,498$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 38c | 1,475$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.58 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 33c | 1,419$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.88 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…d243backed Yes | 52c | 1,263$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.68 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 52c | 1,218$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.46 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c0…3484backed Yes | 1c | 1,067$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c90…8770backed No | 64c | 845.18$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 9c | 845.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…30e1backed Yes | 46c | 842.74$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…bfa4backed Yes | 13c | 800$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +208.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcef2…d6acbacked Yes | 3c | 724.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 659.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…5c96backed Yes | 41c | 607.38$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9537…705fbacked Yes | 12c | 595.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 3c | 590.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…ce22backed Yes | 8c | 575$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 83 | 7.2%6 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6873…2dc0backed Yes | 2c | 499.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…fda6backed Yes | 15c | 496.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…91a1backed Yes | 14c | 482.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…db0dbacked Yes | 9c | 442.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 62c | 423.29$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.15 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 15c | 408.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…508fbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…b96cbacked Yes | 43c | 361.44$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 8c | 359.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…4063backed No | 67c | 291.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bef0backed No | 64c | 252.9$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Yes | 8c | 249.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…62b0backed No | 58c | 241.01$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd158…d4f4backed Yes | 13c | 223.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…4b16backed No | 68c | 220.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522e…63cdbacked Yes | 45c | 217.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2674…a13fbacked Yes | 56c | 206.73$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed No | 47c | 206.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaf…d00abacked No | 57c | 203.66$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab0…a0e2backed No | 59c | 202.88$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a4…70babacked No | 59c | 200.7$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…0937backed Yes | 48c | 200.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…dcb5backed No | 58c | 198.77$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a8…6e50backed No | 58c | 198.18$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…6ccebacked No | 58c | 197.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…5449backed No | 58c | 197.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1a…a8c1backed No | 58c | 197.53$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…cfc8backed No | 58c | 197.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6f…fb5ebacked No | 58c | 197.24$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9677…0215backed No | 58c | 195.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…26d6backed No | 59c | 194.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eef…040ebacked No | 58c | 194.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742a…a133backed No | 58c | 194.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…bb0ebacked Yes | 59c | 194.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3456…19a1backed No | 59c | 193.36$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…795cbacked No | 58c | 193.27$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…3ff3backed No | 58c | 191.69$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…d5ccbacked No | 58c | 190.94$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…c305backed No | 59c | 188.82$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…f0b7backed No | 59c | 188.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…98d4backed No | 59c | 187.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…de1abacked No | 59c | 186.63$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…9851backed No | 58c | 186.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d0…b986backed No | 58c | 185.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec72…6a6bbacked No | 59c | 184.61$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf794…2359backed No | 59c | 184.01$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…5679backed No | 59c | 182.93$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…06debacked No | 58c | 182.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…3509backed No | 59c | 174.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…69e1backed No | 59c | 174.59$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 71c | 174.01$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…0188backed Yes | 6c | 169.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed Yes | 16c | 168.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef8…c08abacked No | 59c | 162.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…33b5backed Yes | 28c | 160.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…869bbacked Yes | 21c | 158.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…9bb4backed Yes | 17c | 158.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…7d0cbacked No | 59c | 155.76$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 10c | 152$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025f…25cfbacked Yes | 22c | 143.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…11cbbacked Yes | 11c | 138.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 9c | 120.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 26c | 119.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 23-29?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 23-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.