Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28b0fec9637e0f39ea3a78ca360107f1697c13353a20f06836161c5e507f4580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,629 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…2f99backed No | 0c | 6,134$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…ad54backed No | 18c | 5,598$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +168.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 7c | 3,011$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.46 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 77c | 2,499$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.32 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 70c | 1,631$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.1 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,475$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 36c | 1,415$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.25 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 16c | 986.3$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 6c | 850$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b6cbbacked No | 25c | 780.66$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…33b5backed No | 2c | 575.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed No | 6c | 552.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…30e1backed Yes | 53c | 548.48$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked No | 20c | 538.44$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked No | 6c | 504.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 59c | 491.3$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.49 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…dc65backed No | 24c | 480.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a6…765ebacked No | 22c | 447.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed No | 22c | 431.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad0…8645backed No | 24c | 431.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 14c | 397.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 28c | 389.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.29 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed No | 17c | 330.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 299.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 23c | 288.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…3638backed No | 7c | 266$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa55…032bbacked No | 12c | 249.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 74c | 229.68$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…7896backed No | 23c | 219.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 8c | 212.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 15c | 209.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…4063backed No | 38c | 204.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…881ebacked Yes | 74c | 200.28$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 6c | 199.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 78c | 197.06$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…338ebacked No | 29c | 195.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 24c | 195.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df8…8206backed No | 7c | 176.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 32c | 172.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked No | 16c | 166.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…a756backed No | 14c | 139.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522e…63cdbacked Yes | 75c | 131.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 78c | 126.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 47c | 122.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked No | 34c | 115.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b44…d32cbacked No | 13c | 111.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…7b2abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf199…ab80backed Yes | 52c | 98.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 79c | 98.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 40c | 94.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…2294backed No | 14c | 92.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2872…d423backed No | 32c | 87.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…6eb4backed No | 34c | 77.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…ad7fbacked Yes | 31c | 74.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…3d26backed No | 19c | 73.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed Yes | 80c | 68.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…93c7backed No | 31c | 63.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked No | 23c | 61.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -69%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -53%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed No | 33c | 58.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed No | 34c | 57.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1908…ecd3backed Yes | 52c | 55.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…977cbacked Yes | 78c | 55.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…bb1dbacked No | 27c | 48.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 28c | 44.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb218…6261backed No | 25c | 40.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe353…c821backed Yes | 56c | 38.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf196…ef6bbacked No | 36c | 38.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Yes | 73c | 37.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…3c75backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b78…324ebacked Yes | 70c | 34.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…ff47backed No | 35c | 34.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…efcebacked Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…aeecbacked Yes | 49c | 29.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed Yes | 76c | 24.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…4b16backed No | 46c | 23.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…50fcbacked Yes | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…203ebacked Yes | 67c | 18.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d8…894bbacked Yes | 79c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 23-29?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 23-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.