Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebe6e8736e08cbdc65aad912bc4d08ebc5ec2937f2c25940915120965c2c4041
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde17…0988backed Yes | 41c | 22,279$9,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,109.68 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 68c | 11,156$7,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,604.54 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 34c | 10,068$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,692 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a2…4bc9backed Yes | 35c | 9,672$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,292.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 16c | 4,837$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.06 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 75c | 4,642$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.32 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 20c | 3,738$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.92 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b6cbbacked Yes | 42c | 3,468$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…62b0backed No | 5c | 3,234$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed No | 26c | 3,166$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.52 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed Yes | 49c | 3,162$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.83 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Yes | 52c | 2,538$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.32 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 18c | 2,430$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.21 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fb58backed No | 73c | 2,132$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…ad54backed Yes | 21c | 2,072$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +168.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 37c | 2,018$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.49 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,004$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.1 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…bcc1backed Yes | 27c | 1,956$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +274.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,775$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.87 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 62c | 1,579$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.27 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 78c | 1,419$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.77 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…1b86backed No | 75c | 1,229$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.95 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…d243backed No | 36c | 1,088$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.9 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 49c | 1,074$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.72 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked No | 73c | 1,005$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 64c | 1,000$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…76dcbacked No | 61c | 981.75$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.29 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 30c | 884.5$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.35 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 56c | 768.77$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.52 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 17c | 752.44$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 64c | 733.61$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe0…b492backed Yes | 29c | 682.84$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed Yes | 34c | 649.02$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.9 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 34c | 565.81$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.02 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…30e1backed Yes | 35c | 555.27$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…fda6backed No | 69c | 521.65$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9537…705fbacked No | 58c | 498.42$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…5fb5backed No | 66c | 439.95$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed Yes | 39c | 438.23$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.06 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…bfa4backed Yes | 34c | 428.21$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +208.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…bb0ebacked Yes | 65c | 415.81$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ed…bb85backed No | 17c | 414.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 67c | 413.84$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.79 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed No | 9c | 402.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…df66backed No | 70c | 374.78$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 70c | 350.9$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.73 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 7c | 299.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 33c | 295.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.07 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…1eb0backed No | 11c | 294.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d4…bdc2backed No | 71c | 277.01$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Yes | 26c | 274.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…919ebacked Yes | 74c | 265.27$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…fb85backed No | 74c | 264.38$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53c6…8c21backed Yes | 20c | 264.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 31c | 250.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.6 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…17d3backed Yes | 47c | 206.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed Yes | 26c | 202.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked No | 9c | 201.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 61c | 199.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…de91backed Yes | 29c | 199.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 30cpaid | +381.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 39c | 173.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…a85bbacked No | 73c | 162.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed Yes | 19c | 159.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.83 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…3f04backed Yes | 27c | 152.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 35c | 151.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…ccd2backed Yes | 19c | 142.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…3d26backed Yes | 35c | 142.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…3576backed No | 66c | 128.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…21c7backed Yes | 39c | 124.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed No | 80c | 123.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400a…b12ebacked No | 74c | 110.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a34…42cebacked Yes | 19c | 110.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked Yes | 39c | 108.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fa…e8b0backed No | 76c | 102.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bef0backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff6…db55backed No | 19c | 98.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec68…a36fbacked Yes | 23c | 98.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…780bbacked No | 66c | 97.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…a88fbacked Yes | 26c | 96.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed No | 21c | 93.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…cbf9backed Yes | 15c | 92.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf199…ab80backed Yes | 36c | 91.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…f424backed Yes | 37c | 91.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +191%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…1cf0backed Yes | 18c | 87.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…fe9fbacked Yes | 35c | 83.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…8c21backed Yes | 18c | 82.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed No | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…d7c1backed No | 17c | 78.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…b96cbacked No | 65c | 74.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe17b…04cbbacked Yes | 29c | 72.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…edacbacked Yes | 42c | 71.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…f69fbacked Yes | 34c | 71.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 69c | 70.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…5d9bbacked Yes | 26c | 69.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…5d04backed Yes | 25c | 69.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…0cb6backed No | 70c | 69.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 23-29?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 23-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.