Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 2-8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cce9fd4ac28ab5b19336745c7c20062cc5da7e4354e27f3f8ecc6c646f55bf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 7c | 24,729$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 18,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Yes | 32c | 14,384$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,623.06 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…4a9cbacked Yes | 2c | 8,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 56c | 6,311$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.64 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked No | 61c | 5,287$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.64 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…b968backed Yes | 57c | 4,900$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 3c | 4,626$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 75c | 4,271$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.42 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 2c | 4,240$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…e1f8backed Yes | 5c | 4,124$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +1,064.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…2530backed Yes | 32c | 4,000$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c8…d39cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,762$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Yes | 24c | 3,666$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 3c | 3,426$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b47…af01backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 60c | 3,188$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.05 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,534$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 10c | 2,394$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.53 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…81dfbacked Yes | 41c | 2,200$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Yes | 52c | 2,185$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…8993backed Yes | 13c | 1,727$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…ee07backed Yes | 6c | 1,725$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed No | 73c | 1,610$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.24 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…25f4backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,343$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.75 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 37c | 1,199$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.1 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,101$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,098$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.72 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 6c | 1,009$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 993.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 968.42$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 31c | 835.32$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 6c | 834.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 4c | 690.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…cfe1backed No | 72c | 687.76$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.52 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 20c | 677.21$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 5c | 629.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked No | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.51 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…7521backed No | 67c | 596.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 5c | 521.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 505.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 8c | 500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +270.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 7c | 455.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 4c | 440.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…f072backed Yes | 4c | 425$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 24c | 418.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…fc47backed Yes | 4c | 416.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…45e6backed Yes | 26c | 400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…338ebacked Yes | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 20c | 350$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…a94dbacked Yes | 6c | 350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 65c | 337$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…a5a3backed Yes | 57c | 270$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6531…ed36backed Yes | 16c | 256.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…308bbacked Yes | 9c | 213.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…8b81backed Yes | 8c | 206.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…42eebacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…57a1backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 5cpaid | +614.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ef…bc04backed Yes | 38c | 176.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…7607backed Yes | 12c | 170.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…906ebacked Yes | 11c | 166.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.49per pick | 24cpaid | +220.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaa…4083backed Yes | 10c | 146.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…5dedbacked Yes | 29c | 143.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf449…a32dbacked No | 71c | 143.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…ba74backed Yes | 76c | 132.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…c045backed Yes | 12c | 129.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…86c4backed Yes | 12c | 125.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…0555backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…7797backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…73b2backed Yes | 27c | 90.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked No | 58c | 79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…361abacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dde…cf61backed Yes | 39c | 57.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f70cbacked Yes | 46c | 43.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed Yes | 59c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb634…5714backed Yes | 35c | 36.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf914…d81bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a50…869fbacked No | 59c | 32.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977e…decebacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 68c | 15.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 2-8?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 February 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 February 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 February 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 February 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 February 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 February 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,900 February 2-8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.