Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e285f49c483634426c54834f840f6bfe780e0039eb0ad31357b936600b7c2d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $465,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $465,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 739 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 36c | 21,431$7,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,715.09 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Yes | 31c | 20,300$6,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,056.04 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes | 27c | 18,936$5,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,730.97 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 57c | 18,743$10,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,021.29 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked Yes | 71c | 17,588$12,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,112.14 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Yes | 29c | 12,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,479.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 33c | 10,931$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.28 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 36c | 10,068$3,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.81 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 67c | 10,008$6,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.49 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.94 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 63c | 9,502$6,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.41 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed No | 65c | 9,379$6,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,054.54 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Yes | 69c | 8,699$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 67c | 8,698$5,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,842.19 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Yes | 68c | 8,095$5,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 65c | 7,809$5,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.79 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 50c | 7,416$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.41 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 44c | 7,344$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.27 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0b…cf23backed Yes | 70c | 6,429$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 69c | 6,363$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.3 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 50c | 6,340$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.93 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 53c | 6,310$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.57 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 26c | 6,304$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655.55 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed No | 33c | 5,990$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.73 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 70c | 5,592$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.55 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 53c | 5,274$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.36 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa208…20a2backed Yes | 64c | 4,601$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes | 31c | 4,534$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.47 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 55c | 4,127$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.49 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.96 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…f032backed Yes | 71c | 3,933$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.99 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 30c | 3,760$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.12 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 3,612$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.78 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 66c | 3,395$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.34 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 68c | 3,231$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 65c | 3,072$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.98 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 70c | 3,004$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.86 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…7d2fbacked Yes | 70c | 2,858$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.4 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…8ac5backed Yes | 73c | 2,751$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.33 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -6.3wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 33c | 2,699$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.53 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 71c | 2,600$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.87 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No | 38c | 2,526$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.05 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 24c | 2,461$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.3 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 30c | 2,446$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.4 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 42c | 2,400$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Yes | 25c | 2,379$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.35 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…8f97backed Yes | 48c | 2,353$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.06 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 2,257$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.61 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 31c | 2,239$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.75 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 30c | 2,231$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.55 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 37c | 2,188$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.68 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 62c | 2,163$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.9 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5d…1d16backed Yes | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 29c | 2,094$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 69c | 2,082$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.9 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 35c | 2,052$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.19 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 56c | 2,004$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.53 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff8…5fd6backed Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.93 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 63c | 1,920$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.26 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Yes | 61c | 1,900$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 30c | 1,821$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.45 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 32c | 1,776$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.19 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 32c | 1,743$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.65 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,738$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.4 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed No | 39c | 1,728$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 38c | 1,605$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.05 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 34c | 1,600$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Yes | 35c | 1,600$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.22 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 28c | 1,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.27 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed Yes | 27c | 1,496$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.42 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 55c | 1,491$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.71 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 64c | 1,474$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.75 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 30c | 1,472$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.6 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 50c | 1,470$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.18 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 30c | 1,466$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.83 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,390$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.4 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 31c | 1,389$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.75 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…6a74backed Yes | 68c | 1,337$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked No | 37c | 1,250$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.53 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 38c | 1,232$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.59 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 30c | 1,166$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.68 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…c0febacked Yes | 67c | 1,142$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,125$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 43c | 1,111$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.97 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.95 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 55c | 1,098$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.58 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 30c | 1,069$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.13 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…98a7backed Yes | 72c | 1,059$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,033$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.28 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 31c | 1,029$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.13 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…172abacked No | 31c | 1,020$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed No | 30c | 1,010$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…0ab8backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5094backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.