Fifa International · resolved market
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec3db24e9dd340f3e1aa8f68d730c666845c8e85f90f2a49df03290b18c66f74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Yes | 37c | 12,939$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.22 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 44c | 12,707$5,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,615.36 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 30c | 10,778$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.38 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes | 31c | 10,500$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.98 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 70c | 10,100$7,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.99 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.99 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 44c | 8,936$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.88 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 34c | 8,719$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.77 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 63c | 8,634$5,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.38 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…1284backed No | 71c | 7,169$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 61c | 6,557$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 6,349$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.57 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 8c | 6,234$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.49 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…f086backed Yes | 34c | 5,511$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 40c | 5,410$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.23 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes | 29c | 5,301$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.42 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 33c | 4,265$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.24 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 28c | 4,054$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.33 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 56c | 3,795$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.51 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 62c | 3,527$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.26 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 62c | 3,172$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.94 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 39c | 3,171$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.41 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 3,118$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.62 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 52c | 3,065$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1844…79d9backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0b…cf23backed Yes | 31c | 2,903$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 32c | 2,879$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.83 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 34c | 2,768$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.13 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…695bbacked No | 39c | 2,750$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.37 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 35c | 2,554$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.14 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 35c | 2,419$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.57 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 63c | 2,333$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.48 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 29c | 2,247$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.01 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 67c | 2,136$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.28 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.94 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 43c | 1,998$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.9 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 20c | 1,909$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.91 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 64c | 1,879$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 60c | 1,803$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.94 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 64c | 1,656$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.29 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…8a28backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…9815backed No | 57c | 1,475$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Yes | 67c | 1,444$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.97 | 147 | 25.9%38 W · 109 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,385$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.89 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 73c | 1,375$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.21 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…a1dbbacked No | 70c | 1,320$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed Yes | 60c | 1,311$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…8f97backed Yes | 28c | 1,260$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.17 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 70c | 1,251$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.88 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,251$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.16 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 65c | 1,223$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 62c | 1,197$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.17 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,195$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 18c | 1,186$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.94 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 41c | 1,149$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.84 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,135$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313f…46b6backed No | 66c | 1,065$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.6 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 29c | 1,060$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.01 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 69c | 1,040$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.3 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 25c | 1,014$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.14 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…0796backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked No | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed Yes | 37c | 990.55$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.06 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 4c | 975.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 975.92$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.26 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…63e0backed Yes | 31c | 966.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 31c | 891.4$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.08 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed No | 45c | 887.64$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.14 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 66c | 865.27$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.23 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…6c6abacked Yes | 36c | 865$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.7 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked No | 73c | 831.21$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.43 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9826…e7febacked Yes | 41c | 819.69$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.9 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 67c | 812.29$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.57 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 64c | 806.24$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 799.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Yes | 37c | 791.89$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 61c | 770.62$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.18 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 60c | 766.57$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.7 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 45c | 760.22$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.27 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 64c | 746.01$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 43c | 741.59$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.43 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 64c | 715$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 35c | 713.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 32c | 698.89$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 28c | 675$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.77 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 60c | 655.69$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.36 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…8b1bbacked Yes | 16c | 586.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 563.53$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…6ce0backed Yes | 36c | 561.3$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 531$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked No | 41c | 530$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.7 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 24c | 522.57$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…a5b9backed Yes | 60c | 522.27$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2191…628ebacked Yes | 34c | 514.7$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 34c | 510.11$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.18 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 39c | 504$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.44 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.