TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$251,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,288 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d18…4972backed Yes14c26,000$3,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,619.98395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfac7…78ebbacked Yes13c19,394$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes12c15,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9913331.6%42 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c7,828$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5726330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes13c5,420$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.514920.8%31 W · 118 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d9…dcb1backed Yes16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800110%0 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes16c4,826$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.992,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes13c4,636$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.6878317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes14c3,591$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.6113748.2%66 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,368$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.937799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Yes13c2,692$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes18c2,494$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.915350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes14c2,241$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.751,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2837…e9fabacked Yes20c2,120$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.82528%7 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0b…cf23backed Yes13c2,038$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes13c2,000$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.676716.4%11 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes14c1,988$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.0463035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes20c1,917$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.587545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes13c1,896$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9935033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes14c1,855$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.0818438%70 W · 114 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2816…c811backed Yes17c1,730$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.637335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No80c1,607$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.0888838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes13c1,600$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20810245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c1,580$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.922021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes12c1,400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16833149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes13c1,158$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5216540.6%67 W · 98 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5207…686bbacked No71c1,134$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.431070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+97.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes20c1,090$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.846113.1%8 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-65.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x345a…b413backed Yes23c1,064$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.052729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes13c1,026$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.421837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305020%10 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes18c966.77$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17513011.5%15 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…d8cebacked Yes19c900.31$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.053023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes15c882.03$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.38318.1%15 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes3c834$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.766098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x796f…d190backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes13c690.13$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.724346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed No79c622.48$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.382560%15 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce3…2317backed Yes17c576.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb229…8e56backed Yes15c551.48$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.473517.1%6 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ee…0ad8backed Yes18c550$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes12c547.23$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3916646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes16c506.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8124539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018839.9%75 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8496…27b6backed Yes18c451.9$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.132661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Yes39c449.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes12c444.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3216927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bc…ea6abacked Yes20c433.95$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.791625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562544%11 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Yes16c400$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627828.2%22 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd458…b521backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+75.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc019…49dcbacked Yes13c384$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.923450%17 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc0…2f7dbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Yes14c330$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.222633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Yes20c325.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.072623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-46.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c4…55cfbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce83…5b97backed Yes14c307.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ac…eab5backed Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403910.3%4 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-82.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1960…b36ebacked Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No78c304.95$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.095244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes45c300.35$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1822650.9%115 W · 111 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.52941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes15c293.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9917138%65 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes15c276.32$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6587837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes14c259.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.381,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No70c257.35$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3718452.7%97 W · 87 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes21c250.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.512138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes16c242.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8742737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e88…8b12backed Yes13c231$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8251…879dbacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309723.7%23 W · 74 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes13c230.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9443835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…c9c9backed Yes17c229.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.23066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes19c228.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.497413.5%10 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5b…a7febacked Yes13c219.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes14c205.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.368141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.32,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf53e…2728backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329230.4%28 W · 64 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2613846.4%64 W · 74 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe339…a166backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes14c187.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.183930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes13c176.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No80c175$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3542640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c9f…fa1cbacked Yes19c166.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7140%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes19c166.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1110634%36 W · 70 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e7…b39dbacked Yes13c164.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.421952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0777…4b7fbacked Yes13c163.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4210%0 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bae…5ce2backed Yes16c160.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes13c158.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6212542.4%53 W · 72 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb1…65a4backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-81.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Yes15c150$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215635.9%56 W · 100 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes10c146.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.669516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes14c145.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.615932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…706cbacked Yes13c138.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1850%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027729.2%81 W · 196 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.