Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18d518a1f37ed8a510c174a8d79b228e0745cf4372f9a5d9c327e6576abc25db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,040,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,042,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,040,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 649 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 10c | 311,615$32,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,193.43 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 19c | 201,213$38,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,057.17 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 1c | 177,714$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f1…2417backed Yes | 5c | 117,030$5,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,890.73 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed No | 78c | 103,531$80,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,944.15 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 4c | 51,285$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.64 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 74c | 48,711$36,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,452.76 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…39dbbacked Yes | 7c | 38,906$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ea…4524backed Yes | 4c | 36,303$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92c…ee4fbacked Yes | 7c | 32,252$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 32,092$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.21 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 2c | 29,609$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.82 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8028…6117backed No | 77c | 29,318$22,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,812.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 3c | 28,142$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.81 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Yes | 7c | 27,831$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes | 4c | 26,940$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.73 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 25,440$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.56 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f1…b4fbbacked Yes | 3c | 25,382$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 3c | 24,766$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.66 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f8…6b0abacked Yes | 4c | 23,722$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +452%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…ddb8backed Yes | 4c | 23,522$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…01ebbacked Yes | 6c | 22,772$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 22,045$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.46 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Yes | 16c | 21,212$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 78c | 20,951$16,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…ebdabacked Yes | 2c | 20,833$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…7112backed Yes | 1c | 20,304$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.67 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 19,500$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…28c0backed Yes | 1c | 19,207$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +223.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 5c | 17,888$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.02 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…a95dbacked Yes | 4c | 17,700$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +245.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 3c | 16,662$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1714…1cdebacked Yes | 4c | 16,485$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 6c | 15,193$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.33 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 4c | 14,706$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.87 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…2372backed Yes | 1c | 14,665$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…b94ebacked Yes | 4c | 14,591$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 14,203$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 13,245$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.76 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 79c | 13,184$10,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.32 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ca…0ec2backed Yes | 4c | 12,754$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked Yes | 8c | 12,541$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.53 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…575ebacked Yes | 3c | 12,060$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 3c | 12,038$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.59 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 2c | 11,474$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.68 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d043backed Yes | 3c | 10,774$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 5c | 10,613$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.57 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…5f98backed Yes | 5c | 10,519$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 6c | 10,483$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.83 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…e12cbacked Yes | 4c | 10,421$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 77c | 10,047$7,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.43 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…d657backed Yes | 3c | 9,839$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +184.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 3c | 8,899$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.18 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…6f61backed Yes | 2c | 8,862$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba72…21aabacked Yes | 3c | 8,851$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 3c | 8,743$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.21 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…f049backed Yes | 10c | 8,713$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.23 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 14cpaid | +209.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 2c | 8,673$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…ba87backed Yes | 1c | 8,553$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 2c | 8,247$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…18e5backed Yes | 5c | 8,103$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.39 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +298.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 2c | 7,928$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…1355backed Yes | 4c | 7,820$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…e9c5backed Yes | 5c | 7,807$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 3c | 7,692$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…d271backed Yes | 0c | 7,613$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 5c | 7,583$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.15 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…2505backed Yes | 10c | 7,542$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +202.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…09c3backed Yes | 3c | 7,382$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Yes | 2c | 7,380$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.52per pick | 25cpaid | +743.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…338ebacked Yes | 7c | 7,369$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 7,332$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 7,064$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.82 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…6055backed Yes | 2c | 7,000$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1219…862dbacked Yes | 5c | 6,935$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50c…4af1backed Yes | 20c | 6,729$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…473cbacked Yes | 15c | 6,643$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.69 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked Yes | 14c | 6,093$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…f63bbacked Yes | 10c | 5,939$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 4c | 5,862$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.25 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…11e3backed Yes | 10c | 5,710$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.31 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…9538backed Yes | 9c | 5,604$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 74c | 5,555$4,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…e8e5backed Yes | 15c | 5,411$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…f9dabacked Yes | 4c | 5,386$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +883.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 3c | 5,333$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.63 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…e473backed Yes | 2c | 5,300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2d…601bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…924dbacked Yes | 5c | 5,098$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 2c | 5,083$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…1e5cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,075$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…d82dbacked Yes | 6c | 5,070$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…7303backed Yes | 22c | 4,901$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…d319backed Yes | 1c | 4,873$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 8c | 4,830$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…6577backed Yes | 2c | 4,679$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…bb0ebacked Yes | 39c | 4,651$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Yes | 17c | 4,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.