Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2603d5576c488e4f2a4fa41677917044e796917b2ff251d639b635062fe6b068
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,025,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,812,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,025,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,541 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 24c | 975,770$232,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232,168.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 40c | 282,327$113,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,327.23 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 44c | 257,955$112,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,143.49 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 36c | 225,830$82,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,122.79 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…733abacked No | 71c | 195,172$138,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,891.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…b9ffbacked Yes | 0c | 188,240$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 1c | 160,812$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.7 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 3c | 140,018$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.72 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed No | 70c | 113,314$79,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,610.74 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d36…556dbacked Yes | 59c | 108,974$64,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,769.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 107,903$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.6 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked Yes | 33c | 103,771$34,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,393.06 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…dee2backed Yes | 11c | 84,970$9,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,057.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 42c | 83,760$35,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,127.78 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a76…a1bbbacked Yes | 6c | 80,829$5,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 56c | 77,305$43,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,804.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 5c | 77,037$4,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,078.26 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 36c | 67,000$23,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,882.89 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…40d5backed Yes | 21c | 62,757$13,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,260.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 2c | 62,617$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.92 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 15c | 61,208$9,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,242.21 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…d2cfbacked Yes | 0c | 59,328$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 7c | 56,048$3,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.39 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…22b7backed Yes | 1c | 52,650$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 9c | 51,932$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,659.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Yes | 1c | 50,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 28c | 49,754$13,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,727.6 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 10c | 49,349$4,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.33 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 65c | 45,000$29,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,050 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed No | 48c | 44,394$21,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,087.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…84ddbacked No | 66c | 41,467$27,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,969.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Yes | 37c | 40,727$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…8395backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 14c | 39,813$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 54c | 39,702$21,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,226.14 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 39,538$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…473cbacked Yes | 29c | 39,514$11,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,513.97 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 31c | 38,884$11,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,863.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…71d8backed Yes | 0c | 38,725$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…9c01backed Yes | 9c | 38,609$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 37,995$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…2870backed Yes | 38c | 37,667$14,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,481.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…f043backed Yes | 34c | 36,759$12,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,547.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed No | 62c | 31,964$19,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,002.28 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 3c | 31,509$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.03 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed Yes | 58c | 30,171$17,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,620.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 30,092$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…ca1fbacked Yes | 50c | 30,028$15,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,071.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e8…be6cbacked Yes | 9c | 29,824$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Yes | 12c | 29,042$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 28,518$7,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,982.34 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Yes | 16c | 27,877$4,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…85b9backed Yes | 55c | 27,474$15,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,099 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed No | 59c | 27,362$16,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,162.84 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…5f98backed Yes | 0c | 26,500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 25,553$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…9b6ebacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 58c | 24,945$14,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,373.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed No | 76c | 24,840$18,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,962.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 40c | 23,322$9,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,221.58 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Yes | 10c | 23,149$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed Yes | 2c | 22,986$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +541.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…d9e9backed Yes | 44c | 22,448$9,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,913.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…2acebacked Yes | 2c | 22,130$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde47…d724backed Yes | 7c | 21,473$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…efacbacked Yes | 37c | 20,300$7,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8178backed No | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.97 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 64c | 19,999$12,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,133.04 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…29aebacked Yes | 2c | 19,300$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 59c | 18,724$11,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,642.3 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…2bc7backed Yes | 0c | 18,621$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…33acbacked Yes | 0c | 18,609$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…b27ebacked Yes | 31c | 17,988$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked Yes | 44c | 17,938$7,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,923.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…2667backed Yes | 4c | 16,709$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…3d0ebacked Yes | 1c | 16,531$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +126%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e43…17b6backed Yes | 35c | 16,359$5,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,722.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked No | 76c | 16,348$12,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,916.09 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…0c62backed No | 70c | 16,000$11,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…424fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,833$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb587…2df6backed Yes | 40c | 15,788$6,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,244.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0f5ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,566$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 10cpaid | +274.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f9…5507backed Yes | 3c | 15,197$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…aec1backed Yes | 40c | 15,022$6,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,012.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 15c | 15,008$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.91 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed No | 70c | 15,001$10,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,569.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 62c | 14,913$9,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,674.29 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…8bbbbacked Yes | 4c | 13,995$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.14 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 13,815$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.51 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 13,675$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.46 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…fb84backed No | 33c | 13,423$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,932.11 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…06f1backed Yes | 39c | 12,928$5,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,022.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9b…6eeabacked Yes | 32c | 12,886$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…f246backed Yes | 44c | 12,200$5,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,410.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8028…6117backed No | 50c | 12,010$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,010.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd638…a79bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 76c | 11,891$9,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed No | 64c | 11,545$7,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111.52 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.