Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9575178b26a14814e6a9408339911773684d422271c9a542a1402b84f242e69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,150,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,761,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,150,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 0c | 223,911$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.85 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 2c | 117,373$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.85 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc704…045cbacked Yes | 2c | 100,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…281ebacked Yes | 8c | 93,372$7,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,642.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…3365backed Yes | 1c | 86,626$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba72…21aabacked Yes | 2c | 82,086$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 60,647$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.59 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Yes | 1c | 53,163$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.52per pick | 25cpaid | +743.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…b94ebacked Yes | 1c | 51,575$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 2c | 43,411$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.62 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 1c | 43,237$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…5bcbbacked Yes | 1c | 42,524$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 41,330$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.13 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb48…a9ebbacked Yes | 4c | 36,852$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 36,683$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.55 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 34,442$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…1223backed Yes | 3c | 34,001$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 33,732$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.32 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…a69dbacked Yes | 3c | 33,350$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…01ebbacked Yes | 3c | 33,236$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 31,933$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 2c | 30,581$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.99 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 29,597$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 29,423$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 25,057$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…71d8backed Yes | 0c | 24,963$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…bf17backed Yes | 1c | 23,675$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.83 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…a91dbacked Yes | 2c | 22,992$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.85 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 19,392$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…0600backed Yes | 2c | 19,310$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 16cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1714…1cdebacked Yes | 2c | 18,229$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 17,609$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.35 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…86e4backed Yes | 2c | 17,052$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 2c | 16,663$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…39dbbacked Yes | 3c | 15,712$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 1c | 15,574$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…cb9ebacked Yes | 1c | 15,223$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +406%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…e9c5backed Yes | 1c | 15,035$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…6055backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 1c | 14,901$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…8ffdbacked Yes | 2c | 13,850$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…90c1backed Yes | 1c | 13,250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…04b9backed Yes | 1c | 13,030$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.94 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd608…98b8backed Yes | 1c | 12,958$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 4c | 12,151$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86c…92f0backed Yes | 1c | 10,995$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 1c | 10,922$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…f849backed Yes | 1c | 10,249$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 1c | 10,020$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…575ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 9,800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 3c | 9,450$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ce…7438backed Yes | 1c | 9,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…97b7backed Yes | 1c | 8,364$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +269.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Yes | 1c | 8,361$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x055d…9148backed Yes | 0c | 8,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,162$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 4c | 8,010$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…96babacked Yes | 3c | 7,676$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.29 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…8ea4backed Yes | 1c | 7,429$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,395$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…603dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…8ee7backed Yes | 1c | 6,972$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…ca4ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,525$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +191.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…3c2bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,457$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1844…79d9backed Yes | 0c | 6,402$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 3c | 6,252$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x590f…173ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,230$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +347.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 2c | 6,112$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c63…b28bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 5,936$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…a456backed Yes | 2c | 5,826$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 1c | 5,730$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 1c | 5,487$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…cb99backed Yes | 1c | 5,458$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 4c | 5,359$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 5,268$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…4bd1backed Yes | 1c | 5,246$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,169$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,168$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe58e…afc3backed Yes | 1c | 5,074$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…a979backed Yes | 2c | 5,016$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…4ac0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +208.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…a35ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…11e3backed Yes | 1c | 4,999$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49cb…3144backed Yes | 2c | 4,762$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f8…6b0abacked Yes | 3c | 4,446$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +452%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,305$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…40e7backed Yes | 0c | 4,286$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…ba10backed Yes | 1c | 4,192$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…5f98backed Yes | 1c | 4,140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…a52bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,095$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0005…900bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,064$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…fb0abacked Yes | 3c | 4,022$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.