Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7794cc1f02beaee1ce520357d18989927c5dd3517621125160786561e776e46

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,483,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,587,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,483,467 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xde24…25a8backed Yes	1c	217,968$2,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,086.73	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	4c	132,275$4,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,830.44	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	14cpaid	-95%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Yes	2c	100,600$2,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,416.17	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9285…c19dbacked Yes	0c	88,883$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.88	79	2.5%2 W · 77 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-96%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bff…3322backed Yes	2c	88,100$1,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,535.3	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-57%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x362c…39dbbacked Yes	4c	81,728$2,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,937.2	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes	0c	69,995$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.99	148	8.8%13 W · 135 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	2c	69,000$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156	183	15.3%28 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61e2…4958backed Yes	0c	55,234$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.78	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3bb…2667backed Yes	0c	50,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61ff…9b57backed Yes	5c	46,162$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes	2c	45,643$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.21	101	5.9%6 W · 95 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+121.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes	2c	44,314$923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$922.6	133	3.8%5 W · 128 L	-10.2wins	-0.08per pick	11cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fde…4e0cbacked Yes	4c	43,144$1,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,709.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…02d6backed Yes	0c	41,275$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4da…f756backed Yes	4c	36,501$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.18	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+6.7wins	+0.18per pick	12cpaid	+349.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes	0c	35,542$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.08	229	0%0 W · 229 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes	2c	33,832$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811.96	377	45.9%173 W · 204 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes	2c	31,341$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.31	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc0…4ee3backed Yes	0c	29,803$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.28per pick	5cpaid	+179.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes	0c	28,500$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	136	0%0 W · 136 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	27,916$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.15	678	5.9%40 W · 638 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes	4c	27,847$1,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,077.12	33	0%0 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ecb…ae02backed Yes	5c	25,720$1,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,313.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27c3…18cfbacked Yes	3c	25,186$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda17…d901backed Yes	0c	22,338$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.4	107	0%0 W · 107 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes	1c	20,651$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	475	4.6%22 W · 453 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	2cpaid	+144.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48bb…2a2bbacked Yes	1c	19,217$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.44	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5581…d108backed Yes	2c	17,273$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x061e…5ab8backed Yes	2c	16,211$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-80.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes	1c	16,093$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.91	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-91.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fed…981cbacked Yes	1c	15,951$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.75	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes	3c	15,816$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.89	878	28.4%249 W · 629 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5acd…c079backed Yes	2c	15,701$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.19	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…e383backed Yes	2c	15,461$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.1	90	4.4%4 W · 86 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd4…aba5backed Yes	1c	15,402$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.72	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Yes	3c	15,000$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Yes	3c	15,000$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	33cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa92d…4e71backed Yes	0c	14,301$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	50	6%3 W · 47 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…5157backed Yes	1c	13,600$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1307…bd75backed Yes	3c	12,390$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.33	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.15per pick	16cpaid	+80%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc504…7a4cbacked Yes	5c	10,887$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.35	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes	2c	10,256$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.39	43	0%0 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb4…c035backed Yes	1c	10,146$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	1c	10,063$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.88	169	3.6%6 W · 163 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5e…a09cbacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb0…809ebacked Yes	1c	9,768$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.28	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd75e…cce1backed Yes	3c	9,513$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf964…6e97backed Yes	2c	9,189$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8283…29aebacked Yes	3c	9,100$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.46	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	1c	8,900$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.3	416	3.1%13 W · 403 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf445…1f8abacked Yes	0c	8,882$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.41	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	8,685$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.74	212	5.7%12 W · 200 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3972…5f85backed Yes	2c	8,295$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6d…7dadbacked Yes	1c	8,175$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	7cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x984d…b682backed Yes	2c	8,092$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.61	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5755…473cbacked Yes	2c	8,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes	2c	7,470$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.62	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	+8.5wins	+0.15per pick	3cpaid	+321.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	2c	7,457$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.44	85	5.9%5 W · 80 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681b…e691backed Yes	3c	7,348$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.02	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dbe…e415backed Yes	1c	7,259$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.29	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e94…3d35backed Yes	4c	7,000$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes	3c	6,814$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.99	581	26.9%156 W · 425 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x357d…8c4fbacked Yes	2c	6,312$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	3c	6,040$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.25	89	20.2%18 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x232c…5109backed Yes	2c	5,556$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4dc…0da7backed Yes	2c	5,556$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	5,535$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.21	1,844	4.4%81 W · 1,763 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Yes	4c	5,453$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.08	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Yes	2c	5,175$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.36	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b91…e572backed Yes	2c	5,000$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.27	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9b…83e6backed Yes	4c	5,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes	2c	5,000$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	78	10.3%8 W · 70 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc80…64aebacked Yes	2c	5,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	0%0 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a50…8643backed Yes	2c	4,978$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.55	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	28cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked Yes	2c	4,813$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.89	68	13.2%9 W · 59 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc7…4a41backed Yes	3c	4,713$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c56…5102backed Yes	1c	4,673$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	2c	4,653$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.15	63	6.3%4 W · 59 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes	1c	4,531$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.11	399	8.5%34 W · 365 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c9…d064backed Yes	1c	4,522$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.3	34	2.9%1 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	2c	4,500$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.5	151	9.9%15 W · 136 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x716b…e163backed Yes	2c	4,490$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.58	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe268…6718backed Yes	0c	4,141$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Yes	6c	3,953$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.59	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	3c	3,920$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.08	107	3.7%4 W · 103 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	3c	3,838$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.11	146	3.4%5 W · 141 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3bc…543ebacked Yes	3c	3,805$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2c…a9f3backed Yes	5c	3,783$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.14	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81b1…74ebbacked Yes	3c	3,716$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd16c…f14bbacked Yes	3c	3,626$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.72	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f7f…2352backed Yes	4c	3,532$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.69	57	26.3%15 W · 42 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac22…7fa6backed Yes	4c	3,195$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.93	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccde…8962backed Yes	3c	3,164$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a0…46b2backed Yes	3c	3,153$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc8…9701backed Yes	3c	3,042$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6402…2fa1backed Yes	1c	3,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	64	3.1%2 W · 62 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ad…ca63backed Yes	1c	3,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-74%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e22…3061backed Yes	2c	2,972$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.65	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?this page
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in January?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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