Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddf42243d621feb727bd250e913fdaaa5fd9fa3a6b73ac0d25113472a8bf5689
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,080,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,934,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,080,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 223,768$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.65 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 76,700$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 56,651$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f4…0f4abacked Yes | 0c | 55,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…5bcbbacked Yes | 1c | 50,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…de52backed Yes | 0c | 45,292$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 43,167$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…759abacked Yes | 0c | 34,490$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…2667backed Yes | 0c | 34,325$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…bc57backed Yes | 2c | 28,854$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 21,074$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…fdf9backed Yes | 1c | 20,099$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.54 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…71d8backed Yes | 0c | 18,995$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,888$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed Yes | 2c | 17,917$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 1c | 17,391$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,337$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…8db2backed Yes | 1c | 16,825$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…e6bfbacked Yes | 1c | 16,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…fb0abacked Yes | 1c | 16,325$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…7967backed Yes | 1c | 15,384$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 14,400$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…ca71backed Yes | 2c | 10,755$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 1c | 10,470$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes | 1c | 10,446$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2159…ab9abacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…28c7backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,729$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…3d35backed Yes | 1c | 9,527$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Yes | 1c | 9,500$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c56…5102backed Yes | 1c | 9,464$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 1c | 9,417$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,713$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4c…3d2abacked Yes | 1c | 8,250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…2a2bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,809$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 1c | 7,680$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…483bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,243$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…f043backed Yes | 1c | 7,179$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e9…f0f9backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…054dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,562$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Yes | 1c | 6,543$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 2cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yes | 1c | 6,459$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a5…fe97backed Yes | 1c | 6,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…87bcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,963$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…1430backed Yes | 2c | 5,850$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f92…3434backed Yes | 1c | 5,800$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,396$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,381$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…909dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,108$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…3793backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…6e13backed Yes | 1c | 4,976$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 4,360$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…5d3fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,305$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 3,433$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191c…ad6ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,385$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a9…8e5abacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…58fbbacked Yes | 0c | 3,189$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 3,127$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe849…434dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b1…caf7backed Yes | 1c | 2,778$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…8281backed Yes | 1c | 2,778$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…04adbacked Yes | 1c | 2,778$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 2,704$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…8c98backed Yes | 1c | 2,633$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b33…9b98backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…708cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Yes | 1c | 2,401$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes | 1c | 2,377$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…af50backed Yes | 1c | 2,337$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0171…7f5ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…075ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,308$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +510%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8576backed Yes | 1c | 2,141$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd389…8378backed Yes | 1c | 2,075$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…26f8backed Yes | 1c | 2,049$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…841ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…8f14backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a62…66b8backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716b…e163backed Yes | 1c | 1,970$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Yes | 1c | 1,664$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b07…fcc7backed Yes | 1c | 1,651$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 1,612$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093d…7e85backed Yes | 1c | 1,538$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…bda4backed Yes | 1c | 1,522$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…b682backed Yes | 1c | 1,452$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…d52dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,438$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…be47backed Yes | 1c | 1,359$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…f38bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,359$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d1…1abebacked Yes | 1c | 1,219$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d135backed Yes | 2c | 1,205$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…1262backed Yes | 1c | 1,196$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e3…ec94backed Yes | 2c | 1,161$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.