TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e55…8ffd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+48%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,457.22
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.73
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,337.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,702.56
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.88
England leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39.39
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$71.4
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.53
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$56.1
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.4
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.52
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$58.14
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48.48
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$61.2
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54.81
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+900%+$91.8
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70.7
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$50.5
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48.48
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$58.71
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$10.45
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
First Blood in Game 2?backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.72
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.29
First Blood in Game 1?backed BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.29
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$10.46
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.08
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.87
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.29
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.6
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.6
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.2
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.9
Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36.19
Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$209.79
Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.34
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-47.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$106.92
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+426.8%+$305.43
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$85.26
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$85.29
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$56.26
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$382.74
Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.61
Will the Jaguars win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$106.71
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$82.32
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$42.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+123.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$405
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$636
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23,154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+668.8%+$154,846
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$8,600
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$8,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,500
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.53
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$9,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,240
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$7,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,260
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.51
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.89
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$32.88
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40.12
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.86
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$90.41
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$174.67
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$310.02
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,240
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.