Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c0b3b89f91914877baa6642fadd047deee44a76c129643779e134bb2c61e5f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,693,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,814,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,693,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 47c | 359,999$169,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190,799.59 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 53c | 188,325$100,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,422.44 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 53c | 129,007$68,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,373.71 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 47c | 92,806$43,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,186.96 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 45c | 82,847$37,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,565.94 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Under | 53c | 56,129$29,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,898.45 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…df43backed Over | 46c | 50,178$23,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,096.36 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…e126backed Under | 54c | 46,300$25,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,001.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 54c | 40,000$21,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,400 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…4affbacked Under | 52c | 39,394$20,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,485.04 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 52c | 38,533$20,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,037.38 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…3111backed Under | 53c | 28,302$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4229…2e67backed Over | 47c | 24,224$11,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,945.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 23,980$12,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,169.8 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Under | 53c | 22,142$11,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,815.13 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Over | 46c | 22,000$10,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,880 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Under | 55c | 21,986$12,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,072.34 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 52c | 20,499$10,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,659.67 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Under | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.95 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.88 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 68c | 19,076$12,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,148.15 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Over | 47c | 18,411$8,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,758.02 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 47c | 18,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 48c | 17,777$8,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,244.04 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 17,352$8,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,025.43 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Over | 48c | 16,411$7,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,533.59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Over | 48c | 14,000$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,280 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Under | 54c | 13,855$7,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,414.02 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea8…9469backed Over | 48c | 13,637$6,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,091.02 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…8038backed Under | 52c | 13,365$6,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,916.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 13,106$6,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,953.07 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 32c | 12,135$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928.1 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Under | 53c | 12,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.99 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Under | 54c | 11,984$6,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,428 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 53c | 11,400$6,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,042 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 11,003$5,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,017.95 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Over | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edd…74d2backed Under | 40c | 10,028$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.99 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Under | 54c | 9,815$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,276.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Over | 48c | 9,500$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 26c | 9,498$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.27 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Under | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…ac3ebacked Under | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f66…0d6abacked Under | 53c | 9,308$4,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,933 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Under | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4877…9290backed Under | 53c | 8,877$4,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,705 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…4f25backed Under | 53c | 8,617$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,567 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1178…9fc9backed Over | 67c | 8,575$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 45c | 8,471$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,643.58 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 47c | 8,422$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.99 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 18c | 8,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Under | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Under | 47c | 7,579$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.04 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 7,387$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,971.74 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 46c | 7,220$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.71 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 6,509$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 6,056$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.75 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Under | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a4…65f3backed Over | 67c | 5,985$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 5,968$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.26 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 54c | 5,322$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.39 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 31c | 5,243$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.18 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 5,037$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.41 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b99…bad3backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.97 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.95 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.9 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 53c | 4,952$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.56 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…d4dbbacked Under | 41c | 4,887$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 48c | 4,800$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Under | 54c | 4,444$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.54 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 54c | 4,420$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.37 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…c20bbacked Under | 55c | 4,367$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.09 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 4,333$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 4,302$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.49 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…c3c0backed Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Over | 48c | 4,125$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Under | 35c | 4,013$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.55 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 35c | 4,006$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.88 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 44c | 3,984$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.27 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 53c | 3,827$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.28 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc32…92d2backed Over | 69c | 3,642$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.96 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 60c | 3,629$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.58 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 48c | 3,600$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Over | 61c | 3,588$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.81 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 16c | 3,265$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.22 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 46c | 3,208$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.27 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5this page
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)England won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.