Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9667d7114722797c1d5bfd068e5f1e6fc9df55737077a87dba75a1f306e4cfb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 13c | 13,873$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.46 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Over | 20c | 10,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Over | 3c | 5,205$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.71 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 1c | 5,075$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Over | 1c | 3,810$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 4c | 2,387$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 5c | 2,203$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d0…85b0backed Over | 1c | 2,167$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 10c | 1,843$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.94 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 4c | 1,633$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed Over | 7c | 1,602$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…069ebacked Over | 7c | 1,500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 5c | 1,482$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…c3aabacked Over | 5c | 1,358$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Over | 16c | 1,125$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Over | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…0857backed Over | 2c | 1,021$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 9c | 1,015$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Over | 1c | 1,001$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…f490backed Over | 6c | 934.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 3c | 881$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 4c | 838$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 16c | 686.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98c9…c1c1backed Over | 15c | 645.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…46c2backed Over | 2c | 599.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…ef6fbacked Over | 7c | 588.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 79c | 587$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 18c | 549.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 18c | 507$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…43abbacked Over | 8c | 503.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 21c | 498.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 5c | 361.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 17c | 339.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Over | 7c | 308.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…15a0backed Over | 20c | 200.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 30c | 199.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 19c | 179.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e8…9e94backed Over | 11c | 148.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…3daebacked Over | 17c | 115.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 31.6%60 W · 130 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d08…eda0backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 30c | 90.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 20c | 69.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 15c | 68.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 45c | 34.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 77c | 16.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 77c | 14.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5this page
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)England won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.