Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44be3ef0bf98ac1d6e9dfe420a1af9b25827ee06e9db9c6eaf4ee0e268bab89d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 54c | 4,872$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.89 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac8…986fbacked Over | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 46c | 1,227$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.58 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 46c | 960.91$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.96 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 17c | 901.67$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.1 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…9b10backed Over | 45c | 821.15$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.57 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 60c | 715.38$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.8 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 685.47$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.16 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 588.77$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 57c | 521.16$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.77 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 25c | 364$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over | 40c | 225.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.62 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed Over | 50c | 198.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 40c | 179$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 41c | 171$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…d4f7backed Over | 46c | 155.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Under | 56c | 152.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 41c | 148.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 59c | 126.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Over | 67c | 117.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Under | 23c | 112$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…cdc1backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 128 | 28.9%37 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…cd94backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 285 | 44.6%127 W · 158 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd916…526fbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2a…9997backed Under | 32c | 78.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 56c | 69.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…236ebacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde86…f015backed Over | 49c | 42.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 68c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44df…5a72backed Over | 46c | 32.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…8ccebacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac04…4725backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…e673backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e2…bc7dbacked Over | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 21.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…3519backed Over | 56c | 20.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)England won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.