Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36bbd9d070a73964896092a4506a39095f4f66a673f918ac51b925b1030598e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 3,153$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 67c | 1,309$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.74 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed No | 75c | 1,267$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.7 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 69c | 1,224$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.56 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,197$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.6 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 71c | 1,020$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.72 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 76c | 930.61$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.65 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 74c | 783.73$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.77 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked No | 59c | 687.05$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.27 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 27c | 499.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.89 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 64c | 465.98$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.39 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked No | 64c | 458.01$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.04 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 455$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 433.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Yes | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 17c | 383.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.27 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 25c | 305$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…5ed8backed Yes | 33c | 304.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4c…9f7dbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Yes | 30c | 239.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 184 | 31.5%58 W · 126 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked No | 71c | 192.18$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 71c | 173.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 166.45$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…42c9backed Yes | 32c | 148.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 70c | 125.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed No | 80c | 125.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 115.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…5e80backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 101.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe996…689abacked Yes | 25c | 85.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cf…b515backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e6…c62bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…56a5backed Yes | 61c | 74.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…3087backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…0b19backed Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…2b96backed Yes | 23c | 55.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…f4c5backed Yes | 37c | 53.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ba…ce43backed Yes | 39c | 45.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…8d18backed Yes | 48c | 41.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 63c | 41.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…f2c3backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a1…a667backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…e94cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 72c | 33.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab6…9413backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…5f33backed Yes | 38c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Yes | 41c | 27.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd651…bff1backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed No | 67c | 23.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 64c | 20.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 75c | 19.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 76c | 15.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed No | 74c | 13.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)England won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.