England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3261d3716244c7e021068ddec49a3cf49029e75c96ae2c047922b1430c4b67f

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $102,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $110,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,685 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x99e4…e4c4backed Under	42c	45,540$19,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,321.71	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	57c	43,534$24,981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,553.7	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	42c	10,042$4,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,172.3	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	42c	5,728$2,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,414.6	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over	59c	4,214$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,713.78	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	58c	2,863$1,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,202.4	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over	59c	2,025$1,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.21	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c69…b1debacked Over	59c	2,000$1,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	43c	2,000$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under	42c	1,691$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.06	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over	60c	1,645$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.19	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	58c	1,578$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.64	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	58c	1,552$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.69	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	42c	1,401$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.57	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0393…14b5backed Over	62c	1,252$776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.97	57	61.4%35 W · 22 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	61c	1,035$629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.36	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under	43c	1,000$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	368	38.6%142 W · 226 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under	41c	999.97$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.99	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	43c	999.91$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.96	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…78a1backed Over	54c	945.97$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.92	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4211…cc77backed Over	59c	942.46$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.41	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Under	47c	883.04$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over	59c	831.68$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.99	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	40c	779.99$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.99	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5e…6a2cbacked Over	56c	707.1$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.12	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a8…4527backed Under	42c	707$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.94	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Under	43c	697.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	336	41.7%140 W · 196 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over	59c	652.61$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.57	92	37%34 W · 58 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	61c	561.18$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.39	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Over	58c	531.69$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.31	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa96c…87e5backed Over	59c	525.42$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.42	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	39c	520.89$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.85	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over	58c	509.83$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.13	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under	42c	499.95$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.98	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	42c	466.64$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.71	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	58c	461.47$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.57	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	41c	407.12$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.92	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ea4…9d9abacked Under	44c	399.99$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.99	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	42c	396.32$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.46	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	39c	389.12$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.04	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Over	58c	380$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.6	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	60c	361.2$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.92	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over	57c	353.34$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.34	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	67c	340$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.8	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	62c	339.19$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.56	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	58c	330.28$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.72	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd35d…ea31backed Over	62c	322.58$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.58	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-5.0wins	-0.28per pick	50cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	42c	310.7$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.07	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8edc…552bbacked Over	60c	300.68$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.27	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.9wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+65.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	59c	300$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed Under	41c	275.79$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.07	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over	57c	263.16$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.16	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	57c	263.02$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.1	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	42c	259.99$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.69	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Under	42c	238.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	197	42.1%83 W · 114 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1982…5ed8backed Under	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Under	44c	206.59$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	405	15.3%62 W · 343 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	59c	202.47$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.89	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05fd…50c9backed Over	58c	200$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50ab…15a0backed Over	63c	192.98$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.4	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over	58c	189.66$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.66	126	54%68 W · 58 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	58c	188.29$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.46	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under	44c	184.09$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	208	41.3%86 W · 122 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd697…def2backed Over	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+8.6wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	510	45.3%231 W · 279 L	+21.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45ff…6412backed Over	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	365	30.7%112 W · 253 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1c…d798backed Over	59c	166.98$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.46	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over	57c	166.98$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.8	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over	59c	159.11$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.5	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e50…0d32backed Under	42c	150$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	109	34.9%38 W · 71 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b5…f3cbbacked Over	59c	149.44$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.44	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7366…d1aabacked Under	44c	136.46$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Over	57c	131.58$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.58	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Over	59c	130$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.3	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over	63c	127.14$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.14	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed Over	58c	127.02$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.35	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.20per pick	42cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over	59c	124.68$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca1a…261ebacked Over	59c	118.64$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.64	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3c…c98cbacked Over	59c	118.64$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.64	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8227…2432backed Over	59c	118.64$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.64	171	45.6%78 W · 93 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under	42c	114.29$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	212	40.6%86 W · 126 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc78b…5c76backed Under	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	+7.6wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6d7…c6f9backed Under	43c	110.76$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.53	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	35cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	62c	102.83$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.07	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	322	54%174 W · 148 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Over	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	399	56.6%226 W · 173 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…a249backed Under	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3643…d645backed Over	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Under	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	260	42.3%110 W · 150 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	41c	99.98$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.24	823	48.8%402 W · 421 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4d…6ba1backed Over	59c	96.81$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.81	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over	57c	90$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.7	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Under	44c	86.14$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	111	47.7%53 W · 58 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5465…e1e9backed Over	58c	85.33$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.84	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+4.1wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+19%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Over	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	115	35.7%41 W · 74 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	40c	81.55$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.51	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b9…6d67backed Over	62c	80$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.5	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Under	43c	73.69$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.7	124	32.3%40 W · 84 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5this page
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)England won
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)England won
Spread: England (-1.5)England won
Spread: England (-2.5)Croatia won
Spread: England (-3.5)Croatia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event