TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: England (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Croatiaof England, Croatia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,315 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed England15c51,905$7,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,792.712,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed England13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Croatia77c9,814$7,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.3310471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed England14c9,336$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.0417748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed England13c4,181$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.452,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…9a67backed Croatia77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed England14c3,700$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51824917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked England16c2,811$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.8153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked England34c2,703$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91641968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed England18c2,660$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.11,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Croatia66c2,325$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.7129030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked England14c1,695$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.552,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed England4c1,639$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.586624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked England13c1,616$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0315418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed England11c1,579$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6917732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England14c1,538$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked England14c1,456$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.732,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked England17c1,332$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.611,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked England22c1,266$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6721630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Croatia76c1,186$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4318056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed England14c1,076$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15112429%36 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed England14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed England14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Croatia79c1,030$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.163,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x795b…9066backed England24c1,017$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.151020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked England19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19011122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x860d…5648backed England23c876.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014244.4%63 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f3…ec52backed England13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007644.7%34 W · 42 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64c7…14f3backed England13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked England10c744.51$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.120646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed England12c728.79$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.071,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed England12c727.96$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9643230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed England14c716.87$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.55223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed England14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed England14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd582…4561backed England14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda8…fc16backed England15c708.53$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.28238.7%2 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-52.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked England19c672.06$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0787837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Croatia70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18083153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed England8c585.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5446012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed England19c582.9$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.792,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked England13c578.84$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.013,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe03…e392backed England7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+96.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed England14c564.29$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-75.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked England15c533.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked England7c499.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3536631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f15…50cbbacked England14c454.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.65949.2%29 W · 30 L+9.2wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked England6c450.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.852,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked England10c423$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.122,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c41…eeb9backed England6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258026.3%21 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed England13c414$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0665835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed England13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1212…2571backed England15c371.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-51.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Croatia80c370$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748658.1%50 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…aa7cbacked England15c369.07$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.364916.3%8 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked England20c362.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.921,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked England26c352.53$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9058642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked England25c350$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.53234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb83…ea2ebacked England14c344.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.195318.9%10 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked England15c338.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012517.6%22 W · 103 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked England13c320.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1c…d798backed England6c310$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked England13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3915225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed England14c298.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.421,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked England10c289.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.732,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Croatia74c279.8$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4818765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed England19c271.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.161,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb285…68d3backed Croatia77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7410169.3%70 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Croatia78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5556151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a78…8173backed England8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked England12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked England17c250$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2518431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked England14c235.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.442,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a1…e17dbacked England15c233.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3752…9d56backed Croatia78c226.73$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.887742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed England11c224.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7232656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked England23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014831.8%47 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed England24c211.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015522.6%35 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed England7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e50…0d32backed England13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610934.9%38 W · 71 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Croatia77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.818170.4%57 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x304e…4747backed England5c193$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.152321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked England23c180$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.427242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecd…c49fbacked England14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed England14c175.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked England16c174.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.811,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Croatia80c163.29$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2917540.6%71 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked England17c161.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279825.5%25 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked England22c159.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359131.9%29 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked England18c156.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.732,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked England13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011720.5%24 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3286…5aa4backed England13c152.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-89.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Croatia64c143.64$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7125753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked England14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016538.2%63 W · 102 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e3…97e0backed England14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206526.2%17 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c5…ed42backed England14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208046.3%37 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f28…7145backed England14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x035c…ff43backed England14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb980…516abacked England14c141.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed England14c141.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.