TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: England (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Croatiaof England, Croatia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,640 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed England5c24,999$1,250 inLost-$1,249.9517748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England8c6,027$463 inLost-$463.382,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed England5c625.98$33 inLost-$33.1722122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a1…e17dbacked England6c500$30 inLost-$303818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed England7c469.17$32 inLost-$31.71,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb17c…d2eabacked England5c396.96$20 inLost-$20234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-84.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed England5c320$16 inLost-$1649426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed England9c222.22$20 inLost-$2015522.6%35 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb980…516abacked England5c200$10 inLost-$105147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked England5c200$10 inLost-$1016538.2%63 W · 102 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed England5c200$10 inLost-$1035614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb77…9b07backed England6c183.5$11 inLost-$11.014332.6%14 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4844…8ddabacked England9c133.33$12 inLost-$128035%28 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.