Spread: England (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac8d629b6c47d8500ee4f9cbbe5cefebb15cbb696faba06ec5bdbbf247136038

Rebuilt 47 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Englandof England, Croatia
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,774,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,948,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,774,225 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,064 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9243…658ebacked Croatia	68c	226,525$153,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153,137.11	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Croatia	52c	178,202$93,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93,353.93	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed England	45c	98,840$44,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,361.85	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed England	62c	54,240$33,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,445.91	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked England	32c	53,914$17,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,502.3	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England	43c	47,625$20,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,912.33	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaf…acd1backed England	32c	39,290$12,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,802.03	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Croatia	80c	33,000$26,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,400	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked England	32c	25,704$8,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,362.34	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Croatia	60c	25,539$15,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,291.56	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed England	29c	24,662$7,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,397.99	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed England	46c	24,624$11,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,214.88	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Croatia	69c	23,758$16,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,355.56	228	46.9%107 W · 121 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked England	32c	21,789$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,789.05	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed England	33c	21,403$7,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,346.55	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked England	33c	20,319$6,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,614.06	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked England	32c	20,000$6,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,599.85	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd0e…9884backed Croatia	53c	19,785$10,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,491.1	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1569…bf0cbacked Croatia	54c	18,050$9,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,727.35	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	+101.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed England	31c	17,747$5,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,281.02	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England	34c	17,597$5,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,643.79	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed England	32c	15,625$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,625	147	34%50 W · 97 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Croatia	69c	14,499$10,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,004.38	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Croatia	56c	13,817$7,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,725.11	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Croatia	68c	12,947$8,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,766.25	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed England	31c	12,595$3,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,645.36	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Croatia	63c	12,153$7,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,600	202	62.4%126 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed England	20c	11,536$2,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,229.05	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x7a23…4454backed Croatia	63c	11,520$7,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,300	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+4.2wins	+0.19per pick	40cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Croatia	55c	10,591$5,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,791.31	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked England	70c	10,529$7,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,124.53	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked England	49c	10,440$5,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,341.08	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed England	38c	10,109$3,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,267.48	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Croatia	68c	10,000$6,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,799.98	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Croatia	67c	9,000$6,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,069.99	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed England	31c	8,717$2,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,014.73	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked England	33c	8,137$2,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,451.69	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Croatia	64c	7,844$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	174	43.1%75 W · 99 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed England	59c	7,383$4,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,019.32	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Croatia	69c	7,198$4,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,966.62	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed England	76c	6,579$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,578.95	145	42.1%61 W · 84 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked England	31c	6,452$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,451.61	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed England	31c	6,452$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,451.61	88	58%51 W · 37 L	+10.4wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Croatia	49c	6,404$3,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,138.24	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Croatia	66c	6,309$4,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,169.52	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked England	33c	6,061$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,060.61	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked England	30c	6,000$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,199.93	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Croatia	67c	5,918$3,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,964.77	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed England	52c	5,906$3,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,827.4	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed England	40c	5,892$2,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,535.2	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Croatia	68c	5,873$4,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,012.46	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked England	33c	5,778$1,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,871.52	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed England	30c	5,759$1,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,031.25	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Croatia	68c	5,500$3,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,740	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked England	42c	5,384$2,282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,102.52	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Croatia	74c	5,283$3,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,906.49	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed England	48c	5,185$2,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,696.04	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked England	37c	5,034$1,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,163.38	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked England	31c	5,000$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,450	169	57.4%97 W · 72 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Croatia	70c	5,000$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,499.96	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Croatia	9c	4,615$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.02	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Croatia	69c	4,503$3,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,109.02	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed England	45c	4,102$1,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,240.62	202	53.5%108 W · 94 L	+12.5wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked England	46c	4,000$1,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,160	278	45.7%127 W · 151 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked England	39c	3,997$1,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,425.9	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Croatia	68c	3,819$2,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,611.53	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Croatia	52c	3,719$1,948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,947.94	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked England	33c	3,590$1,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,405.29	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Croatia	68c	3,500$2,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,379.98	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed England	30c	3,333$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,333.33	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Croatia	7c	3,333$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.43	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed England	65c	3,234$2,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,141.41	219	46.1%101 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed England	32c	3,200$1,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,176	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed England	32c	3,125$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,125	95	15.8%15 W · 80 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed England	46c	3,056$1,406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,650.28	176	50%88 W · 88 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Croatia	68c	3,040$2,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,067.2	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Croatia	51c	3,039$1,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,557.85	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed England	33c	3,030$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,030.3	113	25.7%29 W · 84 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe03…e392backed England	33c	3,014$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,019.24	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	+96.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Croatia	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed England	31c	3,000$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,070	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked England	33c	3,000$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,010	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed England	29c	3,000$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,129.87	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Croatia	56c	2,992$1,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680.91	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked England	37c	2,695$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,707.57	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Croatia	67c	2,681$1,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,803.73	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Croatia	56c	2,586$1,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,458.44	208	56.7%118 W · 90 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed England	28c	2,586$717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,868.71	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Croatia	12c	2,492$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.6	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Croatia	69c	2,450$1,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,690.5	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Croatia	68c	2,440$1,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,659.2	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa787…2cfabacked England	45c	2,400$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bba…d7b8backed England	28c	2,291$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,650.29	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Croatia	54c	2,290$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230.49	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55a6…eeb0backed England	32c	2,227$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,514.28	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Croatia	55c	2,124$1,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,168.2	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234e…240bbacked Croatia	52c	2,115$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed England	69c	2,087$1,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.02	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc18e…38afbacked England	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.33	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	67cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed England	60c	2,079$1,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.66	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: England (-1.5)this page
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)England won
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)England won
Spread: England (-2.5)Croatia won
Spread: England (-3.5)Croatia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: England (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event