TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,154 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9709…52abbacked Under52c2,500$1,300 inWon+$1,20019247.9%92 W · 100 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over48c1,876$901 inLost-$900.6138960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over48c623.73$299 inLost-$299.3927466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Under74c531.47$395 inWon+$136.518048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over33c183.3$60 inLost-$60.321,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over13c140.23$18 inLost-$18.21,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b91…fb9dbacked Over18c112.6$20 inLost-$20.278417.9%15 W · 69 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under60c62.18$37 inWon+$24.8718642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over40c61.58$25 inLost-$24.6319040.5%77 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under71c49.82$35 inWon+$14.452,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed Under57c39.99$23 inWon+$17.213262.9%83 W · 49 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc89…095cbacked Over34c37$13 inLost-$12.585639.3%22 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under70c30.01$21 inWon+$8.9221565.1%140 W · 75 L+16.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Over45c24.14$11 inLost-$10.891118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.33per pick52cpaid-70.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5124…f78ebacked Under79c20.36$16 inWon+$4.361758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.