Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x077f104b5c0caf4ba4e373be2c69e31dd404b1a406a8bcc86b9c736cbc33feb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Team Resilience, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 49c | 20,616$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,616.29 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked OG | 17c | 17,450$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.98 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Resilience | 52c | 13,507$6,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,529.02 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed OG | 48c | 12,666$6,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,022.77 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Resilience | 52c | 11,844$6,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,684.98 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed OG | 45c | 10,550$4,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.05 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked OG | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed OG | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Resilience | 50c | 6,900$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed OG | 18c | 6,125$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.95 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 18c | 5,481$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.51 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Resilience | 52c | 5,362$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.27 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked OG | 50c | 5,200$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked OG | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked OG | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Resilience | 63c | 4,779$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.77 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed OG | 28c | 3,621$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Resilience | 49c | 2,989$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.64 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked OG | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Resilience | 46c | 2,601$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.77 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…8f65backed OG | 50c | 2,590$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.1 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed OG | 19c | 2,099$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.87 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked OG | 47c | 2,079$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Resilience | 57c | 2,059$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.99 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed OG | 30c | 2,003$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed OG | 23c | 1,912$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.34 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed OG | 27c | 1,800$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Resilience | 50c | 1,797$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.01 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Resilience | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.43 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Resilience | 65c | 1,528$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.87 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed OG | 53c | 1,516$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Resilience | 72c | 1,445$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.94 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Resilience | 56c | 1,421$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.11 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked OG | 37c | 1,328$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.11 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed OG | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.8wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed OG | 2c | 1,300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed OG | 22c | 1,251$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.22 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…c012backed Team Resilience | 49c | 1,230$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.96 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Resilience | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed OG | 53c | 1,086$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.73 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed OG | 51c | 1,066$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.74 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Resilience | 70c | 1,035$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.22 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e573backed OG | 55c | 1,024$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Resilience | 64c | 1,020$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.08 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed OG | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed OG | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Resilience | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked OG | 54c | 998.15$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed OG | 51c | 984.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked OG | 44c | 915.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 223 | 39%87 W · 136 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked OG | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked OG | 34c | 897.14$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.32 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Team Resilience | 76c | 888$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.57 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed Team Resilience | 76c | 887.2$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.46 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed OG | 48c | 833.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…98afbacked Team Resilience | 79c | 800$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked OG | 18c | 777$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed Team Resilience | 53c | 750$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.75 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 48c | 731.86$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed OG | 47c | 725.21$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.85 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed OG | 3c | 724.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Team Resilience | 73c | 637$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.25 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed OG | 52c | 618$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.13 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed OG | 20c | 597.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 322 | 41.6%134 W · 188 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Team Resilience | 77c | 595.38$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed OG | 30c | 577.86$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.54 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed OG | 55c | 560.69$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.71 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Resilience | 77c | 526.08$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked OG | 39c | 514.45$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed OG | 54c | 513.8$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked OG | 29c | 510.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1a68backed OG | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Resilience | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Resilience | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Resilience | 67c | 498$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.89 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Resilience | 76c | 478.12$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…df55backed OG | 49c | 469.39$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked OG | 54c | 452.93$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.58 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8407…4589backed Team Resilience | 74c | 450$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OG | 25c | 418.57$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed Team Resilience | 73c | 417.07$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853a…c128backed Team Resilience | 47c | 417.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Team Resilience | 79c | 415.84$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa766…1ce5backed Team Resilience | 52c | 413.46$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.46 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Resilience | 48c | 406.5$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.72 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed OG | 23c | 404.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Team Resilience | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.22 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked OG | 36c | 400$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.4 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Resilience | 78c | 387.98$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed OG | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Resilience | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Resilience | 62c | 362.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.52 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Resilience | 52c | 361.79$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.93 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…ff1dbacked OG | 20c | 339.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Team Resilience | 47c | 323.29$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.34 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked OG | 28c | 314.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked OG | 52c | 308.78$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed OG | 41c | 300$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Resilience | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 1 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)Team Resilience won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.