Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40f6a82279f067be42ea520e393930732da000cd5a520b373ffefe6ed6843ee2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Team Resilience, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $483,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $643,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 45c | 69,491$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,491.21 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed OG | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,699.98 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Resilience | 40c | 24,085$9,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,451.24 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked OG | 15c | 17,650$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.99 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked OG | 49c | 14,375$6,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,977.78 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked OG | 54c | 13,200$7,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,166.79 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed OG | 49c | 12,222$5,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,988.77 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Resilience | 42c | 12,154$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,048.24 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 60c | 10,287$6,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,128.1 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Resilience | 46c | 10,119$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,485.68 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…9853backed OG | 65c | 7,680$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960.45 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed OG | 58c | 6,507$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.36 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed OG | 53c | 5,036$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.95 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked OG | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed OG | 14c | 4,496$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Resilience | 42c | 4,446$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.66 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked OG | 61c | 4,352$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.68 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Resilience | 39c | 4,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked OG | 55c | 3,854$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.6 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked OG | 58c | 3,627$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.32 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…8e36backed Team Resilience | 77c | 3,573$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.7 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 61c | 3,477$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.55 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Resilience | 40c | 3,453$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.87 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed OG | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Resilience | 44c | 3,262$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.37 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked OG | 54c | 3,097$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.21 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Resilience | 42c | 3,051$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.43 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked OG | 60c | 2,564$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.08 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed OG | 25c | 2,480$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.4 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Resilience | 39c | 2,462$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed OG | 34c | 2,457$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.92 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed OG | 46c | 2,433$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.11 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed OG | 37c | 2,400$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.56 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…d3adbacked OG | 50c | 2,391$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Resilience | 46c | 2,357$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.53 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked OG | 45c | 2,349$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.17 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Resilience | 63c | 2,314$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.29 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Resilience | 43c | 2,312$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.84 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed OG | 53c | 2,260$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed OG | 60c | 2,232$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.69 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed OG | 29c | 2,148$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.21 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed OG | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…e588backed Team Resilience | 75c | 2,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Team Resilience | 76c | 1,980$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.49 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed OG | 60c | 1,874$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.65 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed Team Resilience | 42c | 1,850$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed OG | 59c | 1,800$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked OG | 36c | 1,791$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.74 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed OG | 57c | 1,748$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Resilience | 74c | 1,721$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Resilience | 52c | 1,668$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.28 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Resilience | 42c | 1,639$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.62 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed OG | 32c | 1,555$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…8e6ebacked Team Resilience | 67c | 1,536$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Resilience | 35c | 1,533$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.13 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked OG | 48c | 1,505$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.59 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed OG | 33c | 1,500$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked OG | 61c | 1,475$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.75 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Team Resilience | 42c | 1,439$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.39 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Team Resilience | 43c | 1,422$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.45 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OG | 29c | 1,419$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.16 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Resilience | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OG | 25c | 1,388$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.48 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked OG | 57c | 1,343$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.97 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Resilience | 72c | 1,326$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.38 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Resilience | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…8f65backed OG | 52c | 1,295$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.45 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…3c97backed Team Resilience | 41c | 1,209$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.23 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Resilience | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked Team Resilience | 46c | 1,149$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.06 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed OG | 24c | 1,111$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 497 | 32.2%160 W · 337 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed OG | 56c | 1,105$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.45 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked OG | 38c | 1,101$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.69 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Team Resilience | 80c | 1,057$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.55 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed OG | 54c | 1,015$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed OG | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed OG | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked OG | 61c | 998.52$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.39 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Team Resilience | 62c | 980.27$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.35 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked OG | 59c | 957$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.63 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed OG | 50c | 922$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed OG | 33c | 918.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed OG | 22c | 909.09$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.7 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked OG | 55c | 899.99$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked OG | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Resilience | 38c | 871.54$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.13 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked OG | 16c | 861.32$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed OG | 4c | 821.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked OG | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed OG | 19c | 792.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed OG | 60c | 790.84$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.24 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Team Resilience | 43c | 750$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Team Resilience | 78c | 717.7$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Team Resilience | 59c | 715.83$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.92 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed OG | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Resilience | 40c | 688.43$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.41 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Resilience | 75c | 668$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed OG | 33c | 613.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed Team Resilience | 74c | 603.76$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)Team Resilience won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.