Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb428de8265cc086095dfbf6f81457b532cc3c22f05410a8a591c05fbd97fe0f1

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $730,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $730,785 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3107…a26fbacked Yes	3c	59,522$1,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,737.96	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	18,100$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.4	171	2.9%5 W · 166 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc8b3…81abbacked Yes	0c	17,326$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	12,042$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.63	206	1.9%4 W · 202 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f73…17b6backed Yes	6c	11,114$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.46	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a7…1dfabacked Yes	24c	11,032$2,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,627.85	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	0c	10,336$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.73	142	4.2%6 W · 136 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	8c	8,810$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.59	79	19%15 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca99…d9e7backed Yes	19c	7,231$1,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,408.48	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	6,981$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.39	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed No	79c	6,474$5,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,359.61	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe058…d73ebacked Yes	25c	6,120$1,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,543.1	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…1adebacked Yes	32c	5,802$1,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,885.19	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1398…a875backed No	80c	5,595$4,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,144.78	13	100%13 W · 0 L	+6.4wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+129.3%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8ed3…e506backed Yes	1c	5,102$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	1c	4,967$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.07	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed No	73c	4,848$3,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,299.12	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	7c	4,792$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.99	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48fd…160bbacked Yes	0c	4,052$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…a559backed Yes	0c	4,038$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed No	75c	3,900$2,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$975	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef0…e437backed Yes	39c	3,817$1,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,480.83	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf66f…8e0cbacked No	77c	3,570$2,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$823.48	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	3,567$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.16	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	3,321$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.59	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7bc…504abacked Yes	21c	3,300$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698	30	20%6 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+287.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd4…5ebcbacked No	79c	3,294$2,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.48	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cc…860cbacked Yes	2c	3,255$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.59	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes	23c	3,241$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.97	155	39.4%61 W · 94 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1615…8f2bbacked No	80c	3,118$2,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.52	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+4.1wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f65…1679backed No	78c	3,068$2,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.63	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+3.7wins	+0.22per pick	54cpaid	+34%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda9a…e388backed Yes	0c	3,049$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb807…99cbbacked Yes	10c	3,024$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.22	103	20.4%21 W · 82 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ac…8151backed Yes	3c	3,020$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.55	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…3ffebacked Yes	25c	2,807$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.76	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd4…b90abacked Yes	1c	2,768$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.84	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f7…4899backed No	77c	2,612$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.89	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf191…cd53backed Yes	17c	2,601$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49aa…65c3backed Yes	43c	2,533$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3537…56eabacked No	78c	2,500$1,945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.99	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	66cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd96b…46dfbacked No	60c	2,466$1,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$986.34	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0aa…8e3ebacked Yes	21c	2,324$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x126f…7137backed No	63c	2,309$1,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$846.6	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09c…8566backed Yes	1c	2,293$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b33…1497backed Yes	2c	2,200$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9c5…5045backed Yes	4c	2,150$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8904…80a3backed No	64c	2,127$1,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.06	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98dc…e3f0backed Yes	3c	2,126$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.64	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dff…e1bdbacked No	64c	2,000$1,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf9b…5dc2backed Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x937e…9845backed No	79c	2,000$1,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.99	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x594c…3399backed No	77c	1,979$1,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.17	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ec…78fabacked Yes	10c	1,946$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed No	80c	1,875$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…c804backed Yes	6c	1,796$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7791…af80backed No	77c	1,766$1,359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.48	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde8e…9603backed Yes	8c	1,690$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec0…976bbacked Yes	3c	1,689$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.04	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes	2c	1,566$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.02	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…40d5backed No	80c	1,536$1,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	73cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5045…7e27backed Yes	13c	1,512$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-78.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	2c	1,500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a3…47eebacked Yes	4c	1,500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7284…0f59backed Yes	14c	1,456$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.72	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	1c	1,440$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4005…4cd5backed Yes	14c	1,429$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x084f…8b8ebacked No	68c	1,400$952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2814…68dbbacked No	79c	1,381$1,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.91	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fe3…e946backed Yes	22c	1,360$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	2c	1,305$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	40	0%0 W · 40 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0894…d819backed No	62c	1,300$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce03…5608backed No	71c	1,300$927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.99	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	1,293$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.31	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked No	77c	1,287$993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.5	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf079…874dbacked No	80c	1,257$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.71	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x916a…0c81backed Yes	8c	1,251$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9825…821dbacked Yes	1c	1,237$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4827…6bb1backed No	58c	1,229$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.29	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	62cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b93…c068backed Yes	33c	1,223$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.74	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No	57c	1,201$679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.83	118	33.9%40 W · 78 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No	71c	1,140$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.56	107	56.1%60 W · 47 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9f9…c5e8backed No	62c	1,139$709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.45	60	63.3%38 W · 22 L	+17.9wins	+0.30per pick	34cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	73+0.21 edge/pick
0xaa29…5eeebacked No	78c	1,122$875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.93	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	62cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c2…e90cbacked Yes	22c	1,107$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b97…0efebacked No	62c	1,097$682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.68	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	+6.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	52c	1,052$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.49	178	59.6%106 W · 72 L	+18.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ecb…3960backed Yes	3c	1,036$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ff…7e02backed Yes	16c	1,022$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7464…312ebacked No	67c	1,010$677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe232…6ceabacked Yes	3c	1,002$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9f…e23bbacked No	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35dc…0c1bbacked No	65c	1,000$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e73…d43fbacked No	77c	1,000$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0668…59b1backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+177.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca03…91b8backed No	66c	999.99$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	7c	996.84$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.3	124	3.2%4 W · 120 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	7c	993.13$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.52	123	4.1%5 W · 118 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e55…8ffdbacked Yes	21c	990$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.9	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9c7…147abacked No	78c	977.27$762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	59cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c0a…2f51backed Yes	16c	961.17$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?this page
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event