Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $90 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa48b7d6ae96620741ef875319d0712132983b71ab1b402ddcdb4ebd37f7cebee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,075,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,135,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,075,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 3c | 127,262$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.59 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…0600backed Yes | 5c | 29,167$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 16cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 3c | 20,955$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.24 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef3…0f7abacked Yes | 3c | 18,815$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +415.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…cb9ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,972$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +406%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…d81dbacked Yes | 6c | 17,757$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…6d82backed Yes | 6c | 16,686$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 15,413$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.93 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…0752backed Yes | 2c | 12,440$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.56 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,221$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…756bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,372$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…72abbacked Yes | 4c | 10,617$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 6c | 9,999$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 76c | 9,590$7,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.68 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce1…f25fbacked Yes | 6c | 9,151$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 9,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 8,198$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.77 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…4b2dbacked Yes | 4c | 8,011$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c8…c0eebacked Yes | 6c | 7,698$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…9e2abacked Yes | 2c | 6,546$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 6,246$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…0ddfbacked Yes | 6c | 5,867$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.05 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 2c | 5,867$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…7de2backed Yes | 0c | 5,504$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,258$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d75…e520backed Yes | 5c | 5,108$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f60…4bd4backed Yes | 2c | 5,108$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…5b3cbacked Yes | 9c | 4,680$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 5c | 3,806$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.62 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 2c | 3,756$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,576$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 3c | 3,524$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfde…8267backed Yes | 3c | 3,406$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +482.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 3c | 3,228$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…3134backed Yes | 3c | 3,091$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 1c | 2,962$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…f5a7backed Yes | 2c | 2,855$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…58edbacked Yes | 3c | 2,824$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…5cf1backed Yes | 1c | 2,818$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,816$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Yes | 5c | 2,811$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222d…6addbacked Yes | 1c | 2,811$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c7…09fabacked Yes | 2c | 2,803$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…65cebacked Yes | 1c | 2,787$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9b…66cebacked Yes | 1c | 2,773$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…a3aebacked Yes | 1c | 2,763$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…510dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,721$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…c229backed Yes | 2c | 2,719$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 2,663$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…aef0backed Yes | 1c | 2,641$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 0c | 2,615$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd453…4104backed Yes | 5c | 2,599$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 2,521$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 3c | 2,491$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…c3c4backed Yes | 1c | 2,482$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…013dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,298$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 2,219$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…4f4ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…680cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,177$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 11cpaid | +428.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,914$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,779$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…8ffdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,741$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…7f72backed Yes | 7c | 1,695$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,545$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,412$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…40e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,364$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 1,358$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa866…d096backed Yes | 1c | 1,358$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 7c | 1,319$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…8e33backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +126%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…1423backed Yes | 1c | 1,267$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…1395backed Yes | 6c | 1,248$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +332.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…effebacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,196$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…743fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,152$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2257…1662backed Yes | 3c | 1,139$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 9cpaid | +524%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…24dcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,128$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…ddb8backed Yes | 5c | 1,118$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 3c | 1,107$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 1,046$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f5…700cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,040$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…dd23backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…57a1backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 5cpaid | +614.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0312…96b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 2c | 999.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…4081backed Yes | 2c | 940$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +200.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 931.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 5c | 902$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 831.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d11…612cbacked Yes | 5c | 820.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…299fbacked Yes | 2c | 801$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 13cpaid | +394.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…54d1backed Yes | 4c | 740.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…7dafbacked Yes | 2c | 700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 2c | 690.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf179…a4e9backed Yes | 7c | 662.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +158.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $90 in January?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $140 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $150 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.