Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $80 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b1f211885f9f6e2d5464e8543d6970dea61439e77b9a6b4aa06fff1472e3503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $571,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $518,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 2c | 42,598$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.41 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 18,832$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,492$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…cb9ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,845$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +406%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 1c | 13,580$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…40e7backed Yes | 0c | 12,688$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 10,996$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7036…6d2ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,153$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 28cpaid | +276.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…0752backed Yes | 1c | 7,865$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 5,599$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…4b2dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,233$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…488fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,198$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…37f3backed Yes | 0c | 5,119$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a9…e52fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,768$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…0ddfbacked Yes | 3c | 4,650$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,545$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 4,430$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…3ba8backed Yes | 1c | 3,920$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…11d8backed Yes | 1c | 3,920$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…2df3backed Yes | 0c | 3,860$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,763$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…296ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,633$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 3,470$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,422$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 1c | 3,160$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…5160backed Yes | 1c | 3,064$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…5c0bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,827$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…669dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,757$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb286…63f5backed Yes | 1c | 2,708$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d01…85edbacked Yes | 0c | 2,670$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…8423backed Yes | 1c | 2,648$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…d289backed Yes | 0c | 2,644$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…233cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,618$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 1c | 2,580$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…d81dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,450$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 2,303$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,136$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,642$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8646…ed78backed Yes | 1c | 1,586$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 1,482$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d75…e520backed Yes | 2c | 1,437$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…ee07backed Yes | 2c | 1,186$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,180$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…6d82backed Yes | 2c | 1,112$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…c312backed Yes | 1c | 1,090$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,056$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…409cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0a7ebacked Yes | 5c | 965.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 717.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 599.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 2c | 590$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8937…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +792.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57f…6bfdbacked Yes | 6c | 184.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $80 in January?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $140 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $150 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.