Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0cece0333663d1f2a21c3c350ac8ebe3ef87198d6bef65247dd164ecf773400
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,265,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,420,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,265,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 6c | 52,303$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,332.15 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…4fe5backed No | 0c | 37,036$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Yes | 19c | 30,774$5,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,855.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +160%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2f…017abacked No | 0c | 24,272$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 14cpaid | +473.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 5c | 21,609$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,514.57 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c0…e4c5backed Yes | 6c | 18,904$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,757.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,548.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…71d8backed No | 0c | 18,017$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked No | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked No | 0c | 15,077$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 14,992$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,440.17 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…ff71backed Yes | 4c | 13,578$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,058.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +273.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 62c | 10,528$6,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,531.36 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…f183backed No | 0c | 10,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa70c…e296backed No | 0c | 10,102$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fe…2f76backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eec…bb66backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,300 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 9,864$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,381.76 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…8e33backed Yes | 9c | 7,476$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,833.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +126%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…ef34backed Yes | 5c | 7,341$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,991.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +431.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba65…26edbacked No | 0c | 6,668$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 3c | 5,738$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,538.04 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,734$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,511.18 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 6c | 5,734$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,389.34 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 5c | 5,500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,224.95 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef3…0f7abacked Yes | 7c | 5,197$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +415.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 6c | 5,126$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,843.82 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 2c | 5,009$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,901.33 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 4,100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.98 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,577$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.05 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…120bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,438$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,922.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf58…9c69backed Yes | 2c | 3,323$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 4cpaid | +1,957.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…d81dbacked Yes | 24c | 3,074$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,009$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 4c | 2,901$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.93 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,892$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.99 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,869$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f1…3cdfbacked Yes | 38c | 2,743$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…2246backed Yes | 4c | 2,741$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +546.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe464…6634backed Yes | 0c | 2,724$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +1.00per pick | 0cpaid | +24,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9a…188abacked Yes | 1c | 2,723$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +1.00per pick | 1cpaid | +19,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 2,617$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.25 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 6c | 2,587$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.72 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 7c | 2,491$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.98 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…c452backed Yes | 6c | 2,483$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,675.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…58edbacked Yes | 2c | 2,469$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.19 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,329$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…4ce9backed Yes | 4c | 2,248$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,458.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 4c | 2,229$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…bab6backed Yes | 3c | 2,227$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +889.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…680cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,227$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 11cpaid | +428.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…b445backed Yes | 4c | 2,223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +1,180.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…9fd6backed Yes | 7c | 2,195$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +855%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…43f7backed Yes | 5c | 2,128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +907.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…a3cbbacked Yes | 31c | 2,106$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…cb9ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,095$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.69 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +406%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…effebacked Yes | 6c | 2,028$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.94 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…9272backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.38 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 3c | 1,912$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.96 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…8b70backed Yes | 26c | 1,863$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +278.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f5…0125backed Yes | 3c | 1,800$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +2,413.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe119…e30fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,782$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +168%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb836…9e4ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,773$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 3c | 1,689$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.86 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 5c | 1,621$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.68 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed66…90dfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,600$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +888%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 1,566$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.05 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe017…9785backed Yes | 9c | 1,525$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +723.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…410bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,515$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +475.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…bb0ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,482$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.64 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,452$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.43 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,400$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.99 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 7c | 1,383$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.16 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 4c | 1,381$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.94 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…73b2backed Yes | 9c | 1,380$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b99…1dd2backed Yes | 1c | 1,368$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +5,676.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 1,327$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.98 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf179…a4e9backed Yes | 7c | 1,207$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +158.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 8c | 1,161$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 13cpaid | +394.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…c3c4backed Yes | 9c | 1,124$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 6c | 1,100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,090$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.54 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 1,090$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.73 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…8ffdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,032$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…ddb8backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…9a89backed Yes | 8c | 993.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,200.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 8c | 990.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…d5d1backed Yes | 11c | 928.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 11cpaid | +492.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…c399backed Yes | 4c | 923.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.70per pick | 16cpaid | +704%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Yes | 2c | 882.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +738.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb67f…a766backed Yes | 3c | 862.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +1,652.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a7…3becbacked Yes | 12c | 832.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…08b3backed Yes | 6c | 819.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.49per pick | 13cpaid | +552.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…f6d5backed Yes | 6c | 818.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 22cpaid | +275.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1921backed Yes | 56c | 809.11$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad3…87d7backed Yes | 3c | 799.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +358.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d11…612cbacked Yes | 9c | 777.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4a…8982backed Yes | 4c | 754.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,620.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $100 in January?this page
- Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $140 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $150 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.