Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd023f415116a8af1b5b84b2e689a7fab83f6725e8415d73c59e36a698b6534df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $731,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $695,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e81…73fbbacked No | 0c | 48,498$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 46c | 43,214$19,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,944.25 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…3ea8backed Yes | 52c | 27,047$14,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,001.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…09dabacked Yes | 35c | 25,000$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 67c | 24,383$16,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,105 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 12c | 12,896$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,296.1 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 44c | 10,725$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,734.08 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked No | 0c | 10,298$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…71d8backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 47c | 8,652$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 12c | 8,493$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,453.27 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 38c | 7,917$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,886.63 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…bb81backed Yes | 53c | 7,835$4,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +527.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…56bcbacked No | 55c | 7,279$4,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.45 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f4…f246backed Yes | 52c | 6,969$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee8…7336backed No | 48c | 6,571$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yes | 45c | 6,222$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9c…a44ebacked No | 0c | 6,024$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed No | 63c | 5,395$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.92 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc68…e5c6backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb0…8403backed Yes | 55c | 4,406$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf9…ce59backed No | 45c | 4,384$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 47c | 4,223$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.27 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 68c | 4,118$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.57 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 77c | 4,107$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.6 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…2f7cbacked No | 51c | 4,002$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…c5b7backed No | 47c | 3,796$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +215.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…c2b9backed Yes | 36c | 3,772$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…c48fbacked No | 64c | 3,731$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cf…be87backed Yes | 40c | 3,535$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…42cebacked Yes | 50c | 3,510$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.45 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…7314backed No | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…1505backed No | 60c | 3,473$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 55c | 3,361$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.09 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ca…2f1dbacked No | 60c | 3,291$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…ab80backed Yes | 31c | 3,250$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 33c | 3,168$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.8 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…dee2backed Yes | 12c | 3,050$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a9…2a85backed No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815c…41afbacked No | 45c | 2,871$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…7177backed Yes | 55c | 2,756$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…9c10backed Yes | 52c | 2,643$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…2cd9backed No | 48c | 2,581$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcb…81dbbacked No | 64c | 2,580$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa217…ab47backed Yes | 36c | 2,542$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 47c | 2,357$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8274…89bbbacked No | 60c | 2,329$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…752abacked Yes | 55c | 2,327$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…01f9backed Yes | 40c | 2,320$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…7a36backed No | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4754…ab29backed Yes | 52c | 2,248$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 52c | 2,246$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.13 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…3650backed No | 48c | 2,192$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…379dbacked No | 58c | 2,125$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 44c | 2,027$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.61 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 68c | 2,021$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.66 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b9…8665backed No | 60c | 2,015$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dff…dff6backed Yes | 40c | 2,007$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…beb9backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…abddbacked No | 64c | 1,969$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…361fbacked No | 45c | 1,964$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8f7cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,939$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 78c | 1,902$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.35 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…4bdabacked Yes | 55c | 1,870$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0543…d255backed Yes | 52c | 1,847$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 68c | 1,829$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.44 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeeb…3784backed No | 48c | 1,805$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe58f…75a4backed No | 70c | 1,795$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 13c | 1,748$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.94 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 48c | 1,737$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.31 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7036…6d2ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 28cpaid | +276.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…ceb7backed No | 64c | 1,698$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…c9adbacked Yes | 36c | 1,693$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 24c | 1,670$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…b785backed Yes | 38c | 1,651$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…6483backed No | 1c | 1,649$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…5deebacked No | 60c | 1,607$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…c06fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,587$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked No | 45c | 1,513$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.58 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e2…30bebacked Yes | 55c | 1,462$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a2…838bbacked No | 54c | 1,411$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 55c | 1,391$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.11 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…12b3backed No | 64c | 1,323$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4163…1adabacked Yes | 17c | 1,281$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +202.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…00debacked Yes | 52c | 1,255$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 24cpaid | +575%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…d20ebacked No | 78c | 1,177$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed No | 29c | 1,089$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…d351backed No | 52c | 1,023$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 74c | 1,020$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.62 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…db3fbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc88…241abacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +329.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab48…5ecebacked Yes | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…04f5backed Yes | 13c | 939.88$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.66 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 937.15$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.7 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…b093backed No | 60c | 934.25$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 928.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.67 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…e75dbacked Yes | 40c | 909.96$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…68a2backed No | 41c | 900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $120 in January?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $140 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $150 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.