Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $140 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36abdad7806205620457a10b9bc0a90a6e760c2fa3f531bd3ec0c0dae39aa764
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65f5…001bbacked No | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 15c | 17,389$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.83 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 77c | 10,839$8,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.16 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 6,122$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.89 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 4,647$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…4122backed No | 21c | 3,993$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 3c | 3,990$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…54d1backed No | 25c | 3,606$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 53c | 3,589$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.86 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…13cbbacked No | 15c | 3,545$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 16c | 2,698$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.56 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 31c | 2,400$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 34c | 2,300$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.04 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 75c | 2,269$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.42 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 16c | 2,100$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.59 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 1,862$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.7 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…6a92backed Yes | 72c | 1,739$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 1,495$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324f…a49dbacked No | 1c | 1,448$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…42cebacked Yes | 79c | 1,262$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.89 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 77c | 1,174$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 78c | 1,026$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.8 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…ac0abacked Yes | 70c | 1,005$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.3 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee70…76abbacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e18…8b91backed Yes | 65c | 703.79$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…8f06backed Yes | 77c | 700$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 7c | 699.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…cae1backed Yes | 58c | 602.55$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 7c | 573.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 7c | 573$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed No | 44c | 557.27$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.77 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…a7c7backed No | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 6c | 394.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 6c | 326.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 11c | 319.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafb…3179backed No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…6775backed Yes | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…b0afbacked Yes | 57c | 230$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff7…1609backed Yes | 80c | 224.25$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 7c | 200.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…1a94backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed Yes | 72c | 194.02$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 22c | 186$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 78c | 162.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9585…61d9backed Yes | 76c | 157.07$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc1…be90backed No | 13c | 156.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…3f46backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…30aebacked Yes | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…28b1backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…83e4backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…87d5backed Yes | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 14c | 88.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 73c | 84.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00b…fb01backed Yes | 80c | 84.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…f6e8backed No | 33c | 61.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 20c | 59.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…2259backed Yes | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54e…9598backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f27…d37ebacked Yes | 70c | 49.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…b785backed Yes | 74c | 45.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…b094backed No | 31c | 42.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…3d54backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Yes | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -86%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…e230backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…abf5backed Yes | 67c | 38.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked No | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Yes | 56c | 34.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…88d6backed Yes | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 47c | 29.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…b838backed Yes | 57c | 28.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa174…bc00backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $140 in January?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $150 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.