Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $180 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe273c611abd18cb304e0bd2b8ee8e51e7c202c74926cd9ba6c6a879c37fdb26a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 7c | 25,930$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.77 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbd…fe0bbacked Yes | 1c | 14,752$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,266$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…4b2dbacked Yes | 10c | 10,173$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 10,039$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 14c | 8,514$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.54 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 7,079$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 4c | 6,556$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.75 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 10c | 6,000$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 5,792$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.37 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 12c | 5,107$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…eeb6backed Yes | 7c | 3,809$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 8c | 3,500$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 3,371$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…3524backed Yes | 8c | 2,759$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…6033backed Yes | 7c | 2,721$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…ff26backed Yes | 1c | 2,654$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 8c | 2,627$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,236$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,037$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,963$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,952$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 1,929$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 1,644$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…7cf0backed Yes | 6c | 1,643$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…e197backed Yes | 6c | 1,630$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…64aebacked Yes | 6c | 1,591$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 3c | 1,560$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…e096backed Yes | 9c | 1,536$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 3c | 1,363$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 8c | 1,216$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…98f5backed Yes | 9c | 1,100$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…30c3backed Yes | 2c | 1,055$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…9665backed Yes | 2c | 1,039$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…124dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,030$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…373dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,016$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 7c | 990.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 7c | 978.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 1c | 960.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…b682backed Yes | 8c | 946.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf101…b28abacked Yes | 13c | 943.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…427abacked Yes | 6c | 900$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 854.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 6c | 837.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…a07fbacked Yes | 2c | 822.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked Yes | 12c | 506.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 4c | 499.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed Yes | 7c | 494.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 5c | 395$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 8c | 359.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59bc…3d81backed Yes | 9c | 328.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 11c | 299.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4e…c1fcbacked Yes | 8c | 256.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c18…49efbacked Yes | 6c | 252$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 13c | 244.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 7c | 238.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0abdbacked Yes | 6c | 229.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked Yes | 7c | 206.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0120…797abacked Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +210%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…4b8cbacked Yes | 6c | 190.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +206.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…002dbacked Yes | 6c | 189.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 10c | 189.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Yes | 7c | 180.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…1829backed Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…b8f8backed Yes | 12c | 169.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…91bdbacked Yes | 12c | 168.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $180 in January?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $140 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $150 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.